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Towson
Towson returns 60% of last season's minutes and rates #235 on offense and #160 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.7 to +5.8.
Why we have them here
Towson's preseason projection of -1.4 (No. 193 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.5, about the -1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 153 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.1, about its neighbours' -0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.3. It returns 60% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Jaquan Womack (+1.4), Jaiden Cole (+0.5) and Caleb Embeya (+0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Zion Stanford, a transfer from Villanova, at +0.2. Its 80% range, -8.7 to +5.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 51% · Transfer 24% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 677 | Jaquan Womack | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Towson | 22 | +2.5 | +1.4 |
| 1072 | Jaiden Cole | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Towson | 16 | +1.3 | +0.5 |
| 1314 | Zion Stanford | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Villanova | 11 | +0.7 | +0.2 |
| 1364 | Caleb Embeya | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Towson | 22 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1373 | Tyler Schmidt | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Towson | 18 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1430 | Ben Roseborough | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | San José State | 22 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 2909 | Jon Barton | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.3 | -0.3 | |
| 3407 | Brandon Holmes | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3422 | Denis Badalau | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Rutgers | 15 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| 3571 | Mani Sajid | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -1.7 | -0.5 |
| 4005 | Chike Ndefo | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Towson | 16 | -1.8 | -0.7 |
| 4503 | Ryan Skerry | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Towson | 8 | -3.4 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Santa Clara #63 | -13.4 | 14% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Utah #72 | -13.7 | 13% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  Long Island University #210 | +6.4 | 70% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | vs |  Loyola Maryland #344 | +12.2 | 84% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Morgan State #348 | +13.1 | 86% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  James Madison #147 | +4.2 | 64% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  American University #188 | -5.6 | 32% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Pennsylvania #144 | -7.1 | 28% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Buffalo #209 | +6.2 | 70% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | at |  Howard #196 | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | N |  George Mason #107 | -3.4 | 39% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  UCF #70 | -13.1 | 14% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Campbell #224 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  Hofstra #124 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Stony Brook #283 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | conf | +3.6 | 62% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -6.1 | 31% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Charleston #141 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  North Carolina A&T #285 | conf | +6.0 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  William & Mary #168 | conf | +2.3 | 58% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  Drexel #254 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Hampton #288 | conf | +5.9 | 69% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Hofstra #124 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Monmouth #216 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Northeastern #296 | conf | +6.6 | 70% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs |  Elon #198 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | William & Mary #168 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Hampton #288 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | Drexel #254 | conf | +4.5 | 65% |
Projected margin is from Towson's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.