Teams › CAA · Compare William & Mary with another team
William & Mary
William & Mary returns 82% of last season's minutes and rates #139 on offense and #229 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.5 to +7.2.
Why we have them here
William & Mary's preseason projection of -0.2 (No. 168 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.4, about the -0.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 119 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.7, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.7. It returns 82% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (63%). The projection leans most on Kyle Pulliam (+1.2), Kilian Brockhoff (+0.6) and Finn Lally (+0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Jayden Forsythe, a transfer from West Virginia, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -7.5 to +7.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 78% · Transfer 5% · Other newcomer 13%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 | Kyle Pulliam | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | William & Mary | 24 | +1.9 | +1.2 |
| 1065 | Kilian Brockhoff | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | William & Mary | 22 | +1.2 | +0.6 |
| 1378 | Finn Lally | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | William & Mary | 16 | +0.5 | +0.2 |
| 1441 | Ryan Jackson Jr. | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | William & Mary | 21 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1463 | Kaleb Spencer | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | William & Mary | 11 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1790 | Reese Miller | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | William & Mary | 23 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| 1836 | Jayden Forsythe | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | West Virginia | 9 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2662 | Ethan Connery | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.2 | -0.3 | |
| 3212 | ZZ Clark | G | 1 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.6 | -0.4 | ||
| 3212 | Nilavan Jotham Daniels | G | 1 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.6 | -0.4 | ||
| 3348 | Jhei-R Jones | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | William & Mary | 18 | -1.2 | -0.6 |
| 3549 | Colin Ndaw | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | William & Mary | 10 | -1.8 | -0.4 |
| 3666 | Kyle Frazier | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | William & Mary | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 08 | vs |  Norfolk State #300 | +11.2 | 82% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Florida Atlantic #122 | -9.0 | 24% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | at |  Michigan #11 | -22.5 | 4% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Bowling Green #266 | +10.1 | 79% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  Youngstown State #215 | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  IU Indianapolis #279 | +4.2 | 63% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | at |  James Madison #147 | -6.9 | 29% | |
| Mon Dec 07 | at |  Ole Miss #61 | -13.2 | 15% | |
| Thu Dec 10 | at |  Delaware #325 | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Richmond #136 | -7.5 | 27% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Coastal Carolina #301 | +11.3 | 82% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Drexel #254 | conf | +5.8 | 68% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Elon #198 | conf | +4.3 | 63% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Northeastern #296 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Hofstra #124 | conf | -4.9 | 35% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Hampton #288 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Campbell #224 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -5.9 | 32% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Stony Brook #283 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Towson #193 | conf | -2.3 | 42% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Northeastern #296 | conf | +8.0 | 74% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Charleston #141 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Campbell #224 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  North Carolina A&T #285 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Towson #193 | conf | +3.9 | 62% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Elon #198 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Hampton #288 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
Projected margin is from William & Mary's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.