Roster Math

Teams › CAA · Compare Hampton with another team

Hampton

Hampton returns 40% of last season's minutes and rates #305 on offense and #255 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.2 to +1.3.

-6.0
Rating · #288 of 365
-4.1
Offense · #305
-1.9
Defense · #255
-13.2 to +1.3
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
12-17
Projected record · 7 to 17 wins
8-10
Projected in CAA · 4 to 11 wins

Why we have them here

Hampton's preseason projection of -6.0 (No. 288 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.3, about the -2.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 261 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.0, about its neighbours' -1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.0. It returns 40% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Max Frazier (+1.0), Etienne Strothers (+0.5) and Aidan Haskins (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Max Frazier, a transfer from Central Connecticut, at +1.0. Its 80% range, -13.2 to +1.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 40% · Transfer 33% · Other newcomer 5%

Max Frazier+1.0
Etienne Strothers+0.5
Aidan Haskins+0.0
Hamza Asadallah-0.5
Adam Njie-0.5
Kellan Lewis-0.6
Tyler Jackson-0.6
Quintin Cooper-0.9
Cornelius Robinson III-0.9
Eunique Rink-1.7
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
898Max FrazierF6-93TransferCentral Connecticut26+1.6+1.0
1134Etienne StrothersG6-22ReturningHampton21+1.0+0.5
1694Aidan HaskinsF6-81ReturningHampton17-0.1+0.0
3592Adam NjieF6-22Other newcomer10-1.9-0.5
3613Tyler JacksonG6-21TransferEastern Kentucky18-1.4-0.6
3739Hamza AsadallahG6-11ReturningHampton9-2.1-0.5
4144Cornelius Robinson IIIF6-73TransferMonmouth22-1.6-0.9
4165Kellan LewisG6-01ReturningHampton10-2.5-0.6
4613Quintin CooperG6-21ReturningHampton12-3.0-0.9
5170Eunique RinkF6-102ReturningHampton13-5.3-1.7

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Tue Nov 03atGeorgia Tech #140-10.719%
Sat Nov 07atGeorge Washington #119-12.416%
Sat Nov 14atNavy #174-8.923%
Tue Nov 24atOld Dominion #297-4.835%
Fri Nov 27NUMass Lowell #287-0.150%
Sat Nov 28NRadford #241-1.744%
Sun Nov 29atAmerican University #188-8.923%
Sat Dec 05NHoward #196-3.140%
Tue Dec 08atWake Forest #76-16.110%
Sat Dec 12vsNorfolk State #300+6.771%
Sat Dec 19vsMaryland Eastern Shore #356+10.681%
Sat Jan 02vsDrexel #254conf+1.856%
Thu Jan 07atMonmouth #216conf-5.134%
Sat Jan 09atNortheastern #296conf-1.346%
Thu Jan 14atWilliam & Mary #168conf-7.328%
Sat Jan 16vsHofstra #124conf-2.741%
Mon Jan 18atNorth Carolina A&T #285conf-2.143%
Thu Jan 21vsElon #198conf+0.351%
Sat Jan 23vsCampbell #224conf+1.053%
Thu Jan 28atStony Brook #283conf-2.741%
Sat Jan 30atTowson #193conf-5.931%
Thu Feb 04vsCharleston #141conf-1.944%
Sat Feb 06atUNC Wilmington #101conf-9.322%
Sat Feb 13atElon #198conf-4.835%
Thu Feb 18vsNorth Carolina A&T #285conf+3.160%
Sat Feb 20vsMonmouth #216conf+0.752%
Thu Feb 25atCharleston #141conf-7.228%
Sat Feb 27vsTowson #193conf+0.150%
Tue Mar 02vsWilliam & Mary #168conf-0.847%

Projected margin is from Hampton's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.