Teams › CAA · Compare Charleston with another team
Charleston
Charleston returns 40% of last season's minutes and rates #110 on offense and #236 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -5.8 to +8.9.
Why we have them here
Charleston's preseason projection of +1.5 (No. 141 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.1, less than the +1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 181 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.1, about its neighbours' +0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.4. It returns 40% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (51%). The projection leans most on Tavari Johnson (+3.8), Max Green (+0.6) and Eli Ellis (+0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Tavari Johnson, a transfer from Akron, at +3.8. Its 80% range, -5.8 to +8.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 40% · Transfer 50% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | Tavari Johnson | G | 6-0 | 4 | Transfer | Akron | 28 | +5.4 | +3.8 |
| 1039 | Max Green | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Northwestern | 17 | +1.4 | +0.6 |
| 1168 | Eli Ellis | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | South Carolina | 23 | +0.9 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | Ben Bradford | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Charlotte | 23 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| 2410 | Kobe Edwards | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 2544 | Martin Kalu | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Charleston | 23 | -0.7 | -0.4 |
| 2862 | Will Mortimore | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Charleston | 10 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| 3146 | Braden Pierce | C | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Villanova | 9 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| 3210 | Joey Scarpitti | G | 5-11 | 2 | Returning | Charleston | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 |
| 3241 | Dennis Scott III | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | ||
| 3485 | AJ Fowler | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Charleston | 6 | -2.2 | -0.3 |
| 3556 | Chadlyn Traylor | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Charleston | 17 | -1.4 | -0.6 |
| 4513 | Djordje Curcic | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Charleston | 8 | -3.3 | -0.7 |
| 4987 | Kendall Taylor | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Charleston | 10 | -4.4 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Temple #149 | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | vs |  South Carolina State #360 | +16.4 | 91% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | at |  Drake #104 | -7.2 | 28% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  UTEP #237 | +3.4 | 61% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Charlotte #131 | -5.8 | 32% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs |  Davidson #132 | +4.6 | 64% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | at |  Belmont #94 | -8.7 | 24% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  Northern Colorado #128 | +4.6 | 65% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  South Florida #83 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Northeastern #296 | conf | +7.9 | 74% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  North Carolina A&T #285 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Drexel #254 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Monmouth #216 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Campbell #224 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | North Carolina A&T #285 | conf | +3.1 | 60% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Towson #193 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Elon #198 | conf | +4.3 | 64% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -4.5 | 36% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Hofstra #124 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  Hampton #288 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  William & Mary #168 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs |  Stony Brook #283 | conf | +7.1 | 72% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Hofstra #124 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Northeastern #296 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Hampton #288 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Campbell #224 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
Projected margin is from Charleston's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.