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North Carolina A&T
North Carolina A&T returns 70% of last season's minutes and rates #258 on offense and #293 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.1 to +1.5.
Why we have them here
North Carolina A&T's preseason projection of -5.9 (No. 285 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.9, about the -3.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 297 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.4, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.9. It returns 70% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Will Felton (+1.1), KJ Debrick (+0.5) and Shane Lancaster (+0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Shane Lancaster, a transfer from Alcorn State, at +0.2. Its 80% range, -13.1 to +1.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 55% · Transfer 26% · Other newcomer 15%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 745 | Will Felton | C | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | North Carolina A&T | 18 | +2.5 | +1.1 |
| 1033 | KJ Debrick | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | North Carolina A&T | 14 | +1.6 | +0.5 |
| 1379 | Shane Lancaster | G | 6-4 | 4 | Transfer | Alcorn State | 25 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1443 | Ponce James | G | 5-11 | 2 | Transfer | Delaware State | 28 | +0.2 | +0.2 |
| 3617 | Chanler Montgomery | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.2 | -0.4 | |
| 3618 | Jalal McKie | F | 6-4 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.2 | -0.4 | |
| 3694 | Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes | F | 6-5 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.3 | -0.4 | |
| 4127 | Efstratios Kalliontzis | F | 6-11 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.7 | -0.5 | |
| 4272 | Yancarlos Cueto | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | North Carolina A&T | 7 | -3.1 | -0.6 |
| 4466 | Mujahiid Burton | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | North Carolina A&T | 14 | -2.5 | -0.9 |
| 4635 | Zamoku Weluche-Ume | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | North Carolina A&T | 26 | -2.0 | -1.3 |
| 4719 | Brooklyn Vick | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | North Carolina A&T | 14 | -2.9 | -1.0 |
| 5008 | Bryson Ogletree | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | North Carolina A&T | 17 | -3.4 | -1.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Ohio #232 | -8.4 | 25% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  East Carolina #182 | -9.0 | 23% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Morgan State #348 | +9.4 | 77% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | at |  South Carolina State #360 | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Delaware State #363 | +12.5 | 85% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  James Madison #147 | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Furman #110 | -12.0 | 16% | |
| Thu Dec 17 | at |  Howard #196 | -7.9 | 26% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Charlotte #131 | -10.8 | 19% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Elon #198 | conf | -4.9 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Charleston #141 | conf | -7.3 | 28% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Campbell #224 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Stony Brook #283 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | Charleston #141 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Hampton #288 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Towson #193 | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Drexel #254 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | conf | -0.5 | 48% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  Hofstra #124 | conf | -8.5 | 24% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Northeastern #296 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Elon #198 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Drexel #254 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Hampton #288 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  William & Mary #168 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -9.5 | 22% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Campbell #224 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
Projected margin is from North Carolina A&T's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.