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Monmouth
Monmouth returns 60% of last season's minutes and rates #209 on offense and #225 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.6 to +5.3.
Why we have them here
Monmouth's preseason projection of -2.3 (No. 216 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.9, less than the -1.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 171 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.1, about its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.4. It returns 60% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Kavion McClain (+0.9), Ashton Walker (+0.6) and Jinup Dobuol (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Ashton Walker, a transfer from La Salle, at +0.6. Its 80% range, -9.6 to +5.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 60% · Transfer 34% · Freshman 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 944 | Kavion McClain | F | 5-10 | 3 | Returning | Monmouth | 26 | +1.5 | +0.9 |
| 1081 | Ashton Walker | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | La Salle | 25 | +1.1 | +0.6 |
| 1931 | Jinup Dobuol | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Monmouth | 13 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | Torrey Brooks Jr. | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 3245 | Lucas Orchard | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Monmouth | 8 | -1.8 | -0.4 |
| 3671 | Zubayr Griffin | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Monmouth | 8 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| 3939 | Quinn Peters | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Monmouth | 7 | -2.6 | -0.5 |
| 3985 | Corey Miller | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Monmouth | 14 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| 4087 | Jack Leahy | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Monmouth | 7 | -2.9 | -0.5 |
| 4090 | O'Marion Harvey | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Monmouth | 8 | -2.6 | -0.5 |
| 4167 | Stefanos Spartalis | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Monmouth | 21 | -1.7 | -0.9 |
| 4388 | Lureon Walker | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | North Carolina A&T | 20 | -2.0 | -1.0 |
| 4416 | Jakai Sanders | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | Le Moyne | 24 | -1.8 | -1.1 |
| 4980 | Anthony Martinez | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Monmouth | 9 | -4.5 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -20.9 | 5% | ||
| Sat Nov 07 | N | -2.2 | 43% | ||
| Thu Nov 12 | at | -5.5 | 33% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | at | -13.8 | 13% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | at | -6.9 | 29% | ||
| Mon Nov 23 | at | -16.3 | 9% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | vs | +2.5 | 58% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | at | -17.5 | 8% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -3.8 | 38% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | vs | +5.6 | 68% | ||
| Sun Dec 13 | at | -9.3 | 22% | ||
| Tue Dec 15 | vs | +5.3 | 67% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | at | -8.0 | 26% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | vs | +1.6 | 55% | ||
| Thu Dec 31 | at | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | +5.1 | 66% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at | conf | -3.6 | 38% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | at | conf | +1.3 | 54% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | conf | -2.3 | 43% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -2.3 | 43% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | conf | +3.0 | 60% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | conf | +2.0 | 56% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -0.8 | 47% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | conf | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | conf | +5.7 | 68% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +5.0 | 66% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
Projected margin is from Monmouth's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.