Roster Math

Teams › NEC · Compare Long Island University with another team

Long Island University

Long Island University returns 80% of last season's minutes and rates #225 on offense and #206 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.4 to +5.3.

-2.0
Rating · #210 of 365
-1.6
Offense · #225
-0.4
Defense · #206
-9.4 to +5.3
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
15-16
Projected record · 10 to 20 wins
10-6
Projected in NEC · 7 to 13 wins

Why we have them here

Long Island University's preseason projection of -2.0 (No. 210 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.0, about the -1.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 172 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.0, about its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.3. It returns 80% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Greg Gordon (+0.9), Mason Porter-Brown (+0.7) and Malachi Davis (+0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Daquan Davis, a transfer from Providence, at +0.2. Its 80% range, -9.4 to +5.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 77% · Transfer 18% · Other newcomer 5%

Greg Gordon+0.9
Mason Porter-Brown+0.7
Malachi Davis+0.2
Daquan Davis+0.2
Tre'shawn Sheppard+0.2
Caleb Johnson+0.0
Jomo Goings+0.0
Jahki Howard-0.1
Eddie Munyak-0.2
Vasean Allette-0.2
Gavin Pendergast-0.2
Shadrak Lasu-0.2
Xinyi Li-0.2
Max Ndlovu-Fraser-0.5
Josh Pickett-2.4
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
983Greg GordonG6-53ReturningLong Island University28+1.3+0.9
1011Mason Porter-BrownF6-61ReturningLong Island University19+1.4+0.7
1310Daquan DavisG6-12TransferProvidence10+0.8+0.2
1337Tre'shawn SheppardG6-62ReturningLong Island University11+0.7+0.2
1401Malachi DavisG6-43ReturningLong Island University26+0.3+0.2
1598Caleb JohnsonF6-73ReturningLong Island University12+0.1+0.0
1627Jomo GoingsG6-51ReturningLong Island University25+0.0+0.0
2085Jahki HowardF6-72TransferUtah7-0.7-0.1
2191Shadrak LasuF6-82ReturningLong Island University20-0.5-0.2
2499Vasean AlletteF6-23Other newcomer5-1.4-0.2
2519Eddie MunyakG6-11ReturningLong Island University4-1.6-0.2
2648Gavin PendergastF6-42Other newcomer5-1.6-0.2
3073Xinyi LiF6-93ReturningLong Island University5-2.1-0.2
4170Max Ndlovu-FraserG6-51ReturningLong Island University6-3.2-0.5
5216Josh PickettG6-52TransferPresbyterian19-5.0-2.4

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atFlorida Atlantic #122-9.921%
Thu Nov 05atSeton Hall #106-10.021%
Sat Nov 07atLa Salle #218-5.832%
Mon Nov 09atTowson #193-6.430%
Fri Nov 13atFordham #125-7.926%
Mon Nov 16vsSt. Thomas-Minnesota #130+2.959%
Wed Nov 18vsUNC Wilmington #101+1.053%
Sun Nov 22vsFairfield #248+7.172%
Wed Dec 02vsCornell #109+1.956%
Sat Dec 05atGeorge Washington #119-9.921%
Tue Dec 08atNotre Dame #75-12.815%
Sat Dec 12vsPrinceton #164+4.364%
Wed Dec 16atLouisville #7-23.13%
Tue Dec 22atSan Diego State #81-13.414%
Tue Dec 29atFlorida #1-30.3<1%
Sat Jan 02vsLe Moyne #217conf+3.160%
Mon Jan 04atNew Haven #326conf+2.859%
Sun Jan 10vsFairleigh Dickinson #334conf+7.673%
Wed Jan 13atChicago State #337conf+2.959%
Sat Jan 16vsStonehill #354conf+10.280%
Thu Jan 21vsMercyhurst #239conf+3.862%
Sat Jan 23vsNew Haven #326conf+7.072%
Thu Jan 28atCentral Connecticut #316conf+2.458%
Sat Jan 30atWagner #291conf+1.153%
Thu Feb 04atMercyhurst #239conf-2.143%
Sat Feb 06atLe Moyne #217conf-2.642%
Thu Feb 11vsChicago State #337conf+7.974%
Sat Feb 13vsWagner #291conf+5.768%
Thu Feb 18atStonehill #354conf+5.166%
Sat Feb 20atFairleigh Dickinson #334conf+2.257%
Sat Feb 27vsCentral Connecticut #316conf+6.771%

Projected margin is from Long Island University's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.