Teams › Sun Belt · Compare Georgia Southern with another team
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern returns 92% of last season's minutes and rates #211 on offense and #346 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.8 to +0.7.
Why we have them here
Georgia Southern's preseason projection of -6.6 (No. 298 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.5, about the -3.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 245 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.5, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.9. It returns 92% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Spudd Webb (+2.5), Nakavieon White (+0.8) and Amare Neal (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Amare Neal, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.4. Its 80% range, -13.8 to +0.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 73% · Transfer 8% · Other newcomer 19%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 398 | Spudd Webb | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 28 | +3.5 | +2.5 |
| 972 | Nakavieon White | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 20 | +1.6 | +0.8 |
| 3359 | Amare Neal | G | 5-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3510 | Dallas Gardner | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.8 | -0.4 | |
| 3717 | Sean Van Dorn Jr | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 8 | -2.2 | -0.4 |
| 3748 | Cullen Schreiner | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.1 | -0.5 | |
| 3823 | Pavle Ridesic | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.1 | -0.5 | |
| 3990 | Cade Lomas | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 6 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| 4056 | Tsvet Sotirov | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 13 | -2.0 | -0.7 |
| 4298 | Andres Burney | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 16 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
| 4581 | Dwayne Williams Jr | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 14 | -2.7 | -0.9 |
| 4756 | Josh Dixon | G | 6-1 | 1 | Transfer | Milwaukee | 17 | -2.8 | -1.1 |
| 4902 | Jayden Williams | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 9 | -4.1 | -1.0 |
| 4970 | Khayri Dunn | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 16 | -3.4 | -1.4 |
| 5025 | Shainen Carter | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Georgia Southern | 16 | -3.6 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Ball State #153 | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Georgia Tech #140 | -11.7 | 17% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Mercer #231 | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  UCF #70 | -18.0 | 8% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Middle Tennessee #127 | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | at |  Houston Christian #273 | -6.0 | 31% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | at |  Northern Kentucky #270 | -7.2 | 28% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Bellarmine #305 | +0.3 | 51% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  UNC Asheville #245 | -7.8 | 26% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  South Carolina Upstate #268 | -6.6 | 30% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Wofford #306 | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  UNC Wilmington #101 | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Coastal Carolina #301 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Arkansas State #134 | conf | -9.6 | 22% |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Louisiana #294 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Southern Miss #214 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  South Alabama #228 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Troy #155 | conf | -8.3 | 25% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  James Madison #147 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Marshall #247 | conf | -4.9 | 35% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Georgia State #260 | conf | -4.3 | 37% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  App State #229 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | Coastal Carolina #301 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Old Dominion #297 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | Marshall #247 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Old Dominion #297 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | App State #229 | conf | -5.1 | 34% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  Louisiana Tech #269 | +4.2 | 63% | |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | James Madison #147 | conf | -8.1 | 25% |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | Georgia State #260 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
Projected margin is from Georgia Southern's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.