Teams › ASUN · Compare Bellarmine with another team
Bellarmine
Bellarmine returns 94% of last season's minutes and rates #200 on offense and #356 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -14.3 to +0.3.
Why we have them here
Bellarmine's preseason projection of -7.0 (No. 305 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.6, about the -4.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 274 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, about its neighbours' -1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.1. It returns 94% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Kenyon Goodin (+1.0), Sam Donald (-0.1) and Tucker Tornatta (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Tucker Tornatta, a transfer from Valparaiso, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -14.3 to +0.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 88% · Transfer 6% · Other newcomer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 960 | Kenyon Goodin | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Bellarmine | 28 | +1.4 | +1.0 |
| 1756 | Sam Donald | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Bellarmine | 24 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| 1941 | Tucker Tornatta | C | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Valparaiso | 13 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 3499 | Tommy Clark | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Bellarmine | 9 | -1.8 | -0.4 |
| 3609 | Grant Neal | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Bellarmine | 11 | -1.8 | -0.5 |
| 4103 | Ant McAfee | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.2 | -0.6 | |
| 4119 | Luke Anderson | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Bellarmine | 7 | -3.0 | -0.5 |
| 4464 | Michael Wilson Jr. | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Bellarmine | 16 | -2.3 | -0.9 |
| 4557 | Tyler Doyle | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Bellarmine | 23 | -2.0 | -1.2 |
| 4559 | Dominique Murphy | F | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Bellarmine | 9 | -3.3 | -0.7 |
| 4725 | Jacob Wassler | C | 6-11 | 1 | Returning | Bellarmine | 14 | -3.0 | -1.0 |
| 4912 | Darrius Bolden | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Bellarmine | 13 | -3.5 | -1.1 |
| 5050 | Myles Watkins | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Bellarmine | 13 | -4.2 | -1.3 |
| 5143 | Grant Whitaker | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Bellarmine | 10 | -5.6 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Vanderbilt #26 | -21.9 | 4% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Indiana #55 | -18.9 | 6% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Miami (OH) #96 | -15.1 | 11% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | +7.0 | 71% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Illinois State #108 | -13.3 | 14% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Eastern Kentucky #264 | -7.0 | 29% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Georgia Southern #298 | -0.3 | 49% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  Northern Kentucky #270 | -7.1 | 28% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Butler #86 | -15.5 | 10% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Morehead State #265 | -7.0 | 28% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Eastern Illinois #324 | +6.4 | 70% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Southern Indiana #315 | -3.9 | 38% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Austin Peay #163 | -10.9 | 19% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  North Alabama #332 | +6.7 | 71% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  West Georgia #295 | +5.3 | 67% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  North Florida #321 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Jacksonville #253 | conf | -4.9 | 34% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Florida Gulf Coast #299 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Stetson #311 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Lipscomb #118 | conf | -9.7 | 22% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  Queens University #142 | conf | -8.4 | 25% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  West Florida #304 | conf | -2.6 | 41% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Jacksonville #253 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | North Florida #321 | conf | +3.6 | 62% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Stetson #311 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Florida Gulf Coast #299 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Lipscomb #118 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | West Florida #304 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Queens University #142 | conf | -3.3 | 40% |
Projected margin is from Bellarmine's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.