Teams › Big South · Compare UNC Asheville with another team
UNC Asheville
UNC Asheville returns 71% of last season's minutes and rates #260 on offense and #221 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.8 to +3.6.
Why we have them here
UNC Asheville's preseason projection of -3.6 (No. 245 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.8, about the -2.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 252 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.3. It returns 71% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Toyaz Solomon (+2.8), Jaylon Johnson (+1.1) and Abou Magassa (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Jaylon Johnson, a transfer from Radford, at +1.1. Its 80% range, -10.8 to +3.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 64% · Transfer 29% · Other newcomer 7%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 334 | Toyaz Solomon | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 30 | +3.8 | +2.8 |
| 887 | Jaylon Johnson | G | 6-0 | 2 | Transfer | Radford | 27 | +1.6 | +1.1 |
| 1542 | Abou Magassa | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Wyoming | 13 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2900 | Hugo Maton | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 5 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
| 3185 | Mitchell Taylor | F | 6-3 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -1.9 | -0.3 | |
| 3491 | Brayden Rivers | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.1 | -0.4 | |
| 3766 | Rasheed Baldwin | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 4 | -3.0 | -0.3 |
| 3979 | Kelcy Phipps | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | Portland State | 18 | -1.7 | -0.7 |
| 4071 | Jakel Powell | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 10 | -2.3 | -0.6 |
| 4325 | Sage Tolentino | F | 7-1 | 2 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 9 | -2.9 | -0.6 |
| 4506 | Corey Jones | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 8 | -3.5 | -0.7 |
| 4522 | David Hermes | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 9 | -3.2 | -0.7 |
| 4696 | Daniel Thomas | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 18 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| 4832 | Julian Clarke | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 9 | -4.0 | -0.9 |
| 5066 | Connor Dubsky | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 7 | -5.7 | -1.0 |
| 5147 | Myles Mayfield | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | UNC Asheville | 19 | -4.0 | -1.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Richmond #136 | -9.3 | 23% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Western Carolina #152 | +2.7 | 59% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  West Georgia #295 | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Georgia Tech #140 | -9.0 | 23% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Tennessee Tech #280 | +6.8 | 71% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  Samford #190 | -7.5 | 27% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Florida State #90 | -13.3 | 14% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Georgia Southern #298 | +7.8 | 74% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Lipscomb #118 | -10.5 | 20% | |
| Thu Dec 10 | at |  St. Thomas-Minnesota #130 | -9.7 | 21% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Queens University #142 | -9.2 | 23% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Morehead State #265 | +6.2 | 69% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  UAB #158 | -8.0 | 26% | |
| Fri Jan 01 | at |  South Carolina Upstate #268 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Winthrop #177 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Charleston Southern #276 | conf | +3.9 | 62% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  Longwood #195 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Gardner-Webb #361 | conf | +6.0 | 69% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Radford #241 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Presbyterian #243 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  High Point #40 | conf | -15.3 | 11% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | Radford #241 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Winthrop #177 | conf | -4.5 | 36% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | High Point #40 | conf | -9.2 | 23% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Longwood #195 | conf | -3.6 | 38% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Presbyterian #243 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | South Carolina Upstate #268 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | Charleston Southern #276 | conf | -1.1 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Gardner-Webb #361 | conf | +10.1 | 80% |
Projected margin is from UNC Asheville's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.