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Wofford
Wofford returns 68% of last season's minutes and rates #226 on offense and #347 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -14.4 to +0.2.
Why we have them here
Wofford's preseason projection of -7.0 (No. 306 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.7, less than the -4.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 234 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.4, more than its neighbours' -1.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.3. It returns 68% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (71%). The projection leans most on Jayden Tyler (-0.3), Davis Miller (-0.5) and Grayson Collins (-0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Jyi Dawkins, a freshman, recruit No. 310, at -0.6. Its 80% range, -14.4 to +0.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 68% · Transfer 10% · Freshman 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2519 | Jayden Tyler | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Wofford | 16 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| 3571 | Chris Arias | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Jacksonville | 20 | -1.3 | -0.7 |
| 3886 | Davis Miller | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Wofford | 8 | -2.4 | -0.5 |
| 3923 | Jyi Dawkins | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 13 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| 4144 | Grayson Collins | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | Wofford | 7 | -2.8 | -0.5 |
| 4300 | Cannon Richards | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Wofford | 11 | -2.6 | -0.7 |
| 4385 | Rex Stirling | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Wofford | 18 | -2.1 | -0.9 |
| 4414 | Callum Richard | C | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Wofford | 10 | -2.8 | -0.7 |
| 4643 | Luke Flynn | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Wofford | 22 | -2.2 | -1.2 |
| 4685 | Brian Sumpter | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Wofford | 22 | -2.3 | -1.2 |
| 5121 | Chace Watley | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Wofford | 22 | -3.6 | -2.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | at | -25.4 | 2% | ||
| Fri Nov 06 | at | -19.5 | 6% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | at | -11.8 | 17% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | at | -6.9 | 29% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | vs | +0.3 | 51% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | vs | -1.2 | 46% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | at | -9.2 | 23% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | at | -9.1 | 23% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | conf | -5.3 | 33% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs | +4.5 | 64% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | at | conf | -6.9 | 29% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -4.8 | 35% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | at | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | -1.1 | 47% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | at | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | at | conf | -9.6 | 22% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | conf | +4.2 | 64% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -3.0 | 40% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | conf | -7.9 | 26% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | conf | +4.9 | 65% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | -7.2 | 28% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | -5.8 | 32% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
Projected margin is from Wofford's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.