Teams › Sun Belt · Compare Marshall with another team
Marshall
Marshall returns 56% of last season's minutes and rates #188 on offense and #290 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.9 to +3.7.
Why we have them here
Marshall's preseason projection of -3.7 (No. 247 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.2, less than the -2.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 168 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.3, more than its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.1. It returns 56% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Wilson Dubinsky (+1.4), Colt Langdon (-0.2) and DeMarco Johnson (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Colt Langdon, a transfer from NC State, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -10.9 to +3.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 46% · Transfer 38% · Other newcomer 15%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660 | Wilson Dubinsky | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Marshall | 22 | +2.7 | +1.4 |
| 2254 | DeMarco Johnson | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Elon | 19 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| 2301 | Colt Langdon | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | NC State | 8 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 3117 | Khaman Maker | C | 7-1 | 2 | Transfer | DePaul | 9 | -1.5 | -0.4 |
| 3314 | Emmanuel Manyoun | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.6 | -0.4 | ||
| 3466 | Will Moore | F | 6-7 | 2 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3489 | Kaiden White | G | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3657 | Grant Moore | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Marshall | 8 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| 3730 | Kai Spears | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Marshall | 10 | -2.0 | -0.5 |
| 3923 | Vasilije Kuridza | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Tulane | 7 | -2.7 | -0.4 |
| 4263 | Bryce Slay | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Marshall | 12 | -2.4 | -0.7 |
| 4440 | Fazl Oshodi | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Southern | 20 | -2.1 | -1.0 |
| 4725 | Luke Rasmussen | G | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Tulane | 15 | -2.9 | -1.0 |
| 4936 | Erich Harding | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Marshall | 16 | -3.3 | -1.3 |
| 5097 | Noah Otshudi | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Marshall | 25 | -3.2 | -2.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Buffalo #209 | +4.6 | 65% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Toledo #173 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Ohio State #27 | -20.1 | 5% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Youngstown State #215 | -6.7 | 29% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  East Tennessee State #171 | +3.4 | 61% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  North Carolina #54 | -17.6 | 8% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Prairie View A&M #341 | +10.5 | 80% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  East Texas A&M #319 | +9.2 | 77% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  UNC Wilmington #101 | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Bethune-Cookman #220 | +5.1 | 66% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Old Dominion #297 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Louisiana #294 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  South Alabama #228 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Arkansas State #134 | conf | -1.4 | 45% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  UL Monroe #359 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Louisiana Tech #269 | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Georgia State #260 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Georgia Southern #298 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  James Madison #147 | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Coastal Carolina #301 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | Georgia State #260 | conf | +3.3 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  App State #229 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | Georgia Southern #298 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Coastal Carolina #301 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | James Madison #147 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | App State #229 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Old Dominion #297 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs |  Troy #155 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
Projected margin is from Marshall's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.