Teams › Sun Belt · Compare Coastal Carolina with another team
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina returns 45% of last season's minutes and rates #316 on offense and #253 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.8 to +0.6.
Why we have them here
Coastal Carolina's preseason projection of -6.6 (No. 301 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.7, more than the -4.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 229 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.4. It returns 45% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Trey Perry (+0.1), Caleb Middleton (+0.1) and DaJohn Craig (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Trey Perry, a transfer from Miami (OH), at +0.1. Its 80% range, -13.8 to +0.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 45% · Transfer 38% · Freshman 7%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1431 | Trey Perry | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Miami (OH) | 16 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1551 | Caleb Middleton | C | 6-11 | 2 | Transfer | Elon | 14 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 1758 | DaJohn Craig | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Coastal Carolina | 18 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| 1813 | Ashton Hardaway | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Memphis | 19 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2422 | Jaylen Cross | F | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Wake Forest | 11 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 2619 | Q Williams | G | 5-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 14 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 3038 | Tristan Thompson | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Coastal Carolina | 20 | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| 3458 | Darius Washington III | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Kennesaw State | 16 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| 3623 | Charles Dunlap | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Coastal Carolina | 9 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| 3878 | Derrick Green | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Coastal Carolina | 14 | -1.8 | -0.6 |
| 4119 | Jackson Keil | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Coastal Carolina | 8 | -2.6 | -0.5 |
| 4730 | Nadjrick Peat | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Coastal Carolina | 21 | -2.4 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Eastern Michigan #244 | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Duke #2 | -29.2 | <1% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  South Carolina Upstate #268 | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | at |  Wisconsin #34 | -21.9 | 4% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Tennessee #13 | -25.7 | 2% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Campbell #224 | +2.2 | 57% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Western Illinois #362 | +11.5 | 83% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Queens University #142 | -11.8 | 17% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Winthrop #177 | +0.7 | 52% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  East Carolina #182 | -9.6 | 22% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Georgia Southern #298 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Troy #155 | conf | -8.2 | 25% |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  William & Mary #168 | -11.3 | 18% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Louisiana Tech #269 | +3.6 | 62% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  UL Monroe #359 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Southern Miss #214 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  South Alabama #228 | conf | -4.6 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Louisiana #294 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  App State #229 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Marshall #247 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | Georgia Southern #298 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Georgia State #260 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs |  James Madison #147 | conf | -3.6 | 38% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Marshall #247 | conf | -4.9 | 35% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Old Dominion #297 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Georgia State #260 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | James Madison #147 | conf | -8.0 | 26% |
| Tue Feb 23 | vs | App State #229 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | Old Dominion #297 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
Projected margin is from Coastal Carolina's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.