Teams › Southland · Compare Houston Christian with another team
Houston Christian
Houston Christian returns 82% of last season's minutes and rates #281 on offense and #251 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.4 to +2.2.
Why we have them here
Houston Christian's preseason projection of -5.1 (No. 273 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.8, more than the -2.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 309 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.8, less than its neighbours' -1.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.9. It returns 82% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on D'Aundre Samuels (+1.6), Kylin Green (+1.0) and Trent Johnson (+0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Brennen Byrd, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.4. Its 80% range, -12.4 to +2.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 79% · Transfer 10% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 586 | D'Aundre Samuels | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Houston Christian | 21 | +3.0 | +1.6 |
| 927 | Kylin Green | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Houston Christian | 27 | +1.5 | +1.0 |
| 1383 | Trent Johnson | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Houston Christian | 25 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 3510 | Mambourou Mara | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Houston Christian | 16 | -1.4 | -0.6 |
| 3537 | Shawn Simmons II | F | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | UMass Lowell | 21 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| 3788 | Brennen Byrd | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.4 | -0.4 | |
| 3790 | Demarco Bethea | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Houston Christian | 21 | -1.4 | -0.7 |
| 3812 | Obadiah Curtis | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Houston Christian | 7 | -2.5 | -0.4 |
| 3818 | Nehikhare Igiehon | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Houston Christian | 9 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
| 4046 | Will Wilson | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Houston Christian | 5 | -3.3 | -0.4 |
| 4336 | Caleb Gaston | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Houston Christian | 5 | -4.0 | -0.5 |
| 4665 | Ryan Bartley | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Houston Christian | 23 | -2.2 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | N |  Western Illinois #362 | +7.4 | 73% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  South Dakota #322 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | vs |  Georgia Southern #298 | +6.0 | 69% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  UL Monroe #359 | +0.8 | 53% | |
| Mon Nov 30 | vs | Western Illinois #362 | +12.0 | 84% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Louisiana #294 | -3.9 | 37% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  McNeese #80 | conf | -11.6 | 17% |
| Mon Dec 07 | at |  SE Louisiana #286 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Thu Dec 17 | vs |  Nicholls #267 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  New Orleans #303 | conf | +3.0 | 60% |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  TCU #51 | -18.0 | 7% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Oklahoma State #91 | -14.6 | 12% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Mon Jan 04 | at |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -7.4 | 27% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Mon Jan 11 | vs |  Lamar #238 | conf | +0.8 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  East Texas A&M #319 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Northwestern State #277 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -2.3 | 42% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at | Incarnate Word #308 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | SE Louisiana #286 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Mon Feb 08 | vs | McNeese #80 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | New Orleans #303 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | Nicholls #267 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Northwestern State #277 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Mon Feb 22 | vs | East Texas A&M #319 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Mon Mar 01 | at | Lamar #238 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
Projected margin is from Houston Christian's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.