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South Carolina State
South Carolina State returns 100% of last season's minutes and rates #361 on offense and #333 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -21.8 to -7.0.
Why we have them here
South Carolina State's preseason projection of -14.4 (No. 360 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -8.9, less than the -7.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 358 at the end of 2025-26) adds -3.8, about its neighbours' -3.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.0. It returns 100% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (81%). The projection leans most on Owen Bronston Jr. (-0.1), Noah Treadwell (-0.9) and James Morrow (-1.0). Its 80% range, -21.8 to -7.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 100%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1896 | Owen Bronston Jr. | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina State | 21 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 4174 | Noah Treadwell | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina State | 23 | -1.6 | -0.9 |
| 4340 | James Morrow | G | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | South Carolina State | 20 | -2.0 | -1.0 |
| 4574 | Chris Parker | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina State | 18 | -2.3 | -1.1 |
| 5058 | Teon Tindal | C | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina State | 11 | -4.5 | -1.3 |
| 5085 | Tim Okojie | C | 7-1 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina State | 12 | -4.5 | -1.4 |
| 5117 | Florian Tenebay | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | South Carolina State | 21 | -3.7 | -1.9 |
| 5123 | Derwin Hodge Jr. | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina State | 17 | -4.1 | -1.7 |
| 5142 | Jamal Miles | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | South Carolina State | 10 | -5.6 | -1.4 |
| 5161 | D'Shay Knights Wright | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | South Carolina State | 15 | -4.8 | -1.8 |
| 5211 | Cameron Clark | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | South Carolina State | 18 | -5.0 | -2.3 |
| 5245 | Rayniel Wright | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina State | 15 | -6.8 | -2.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | at | -11.9 | 17% | ||
| Mon Nov 09 | at | -8.6 | 24% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | at | -21.4 | 4% | ||
| Sun Nov 15 | at | -16.4 | 9% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | at | -7.4 | 27% | ||
| Mon Nov 23 | vs | +0.1 | 50% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | at | -16.5 | 9% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | vs | -3.7 | 38% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | -0.5 | 49% | ||
| Fri Dec 11 | at | -12.6 | 16% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | at | -12.8 | 15% | ||
| Fri Dec 18 | at | -22.4 | 3% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | at | -24.2 | 2% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | at | -20.1 | 5% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -10.7 | 20% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Mon Jan 11 | vs | conf | +4.9 | 65% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -8.7 | 24% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Mon Jan 25 | at | conf | -0.6 | 48% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | -6.2 | 31% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | -5.3 | 34% | |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | conf | -0.6 | 48% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | -2.6 | 42% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Mon Mar 01 | vs | conf | +4.5 | 64% | |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | conf | +1.5 | 55% |
Projected margin is from South Carolina State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.