Teams › American · Compare Charlotte with another team
Charlotte
Charlotte returns 46% of last season's minutes and rates #93 on offense and #240 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.8 to +9.3.
Why we have them here
Charlotte's preseason projection of +2.2 (No. 131 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.2, more than the +1.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 236 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.4, about its neighbours' +0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.2. It returns 46% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (55%). The projection leans most on Dezayne Mingo (+3.4), Jizzle James (+1.7) and Keyshuan Tillery (+0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Jizzle James, a transfer from Cincinnati, at +1.7. Its 80% range, -4.8 to +9.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 43% · Transfer 52% · Freshman 3% · Other newcomer 2%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | Dezayne Mingo | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Charlotte | 23 | +6.0 | +3.4 |
| 543 | Jizzle James | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | Cincinnati | 22 | +3.1 | +1.7 |
| 1025 | Keyshuan Tillery | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | Cincinnati | 10 | +1.9 | +0.5 |
| 1223 | Damoni Harrison | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Charlotte | 15 | +0.9 | +0.3 |
| 1255 | Dylan Grant | F | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | Rutgers | 17 | +0.7 | +0.3 |
| 1376 | Dorian Finister | G | 6-5 | 4 | Transfer | Louisiana | 22 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1536 | Raul Villar | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Charlotte | 10 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 1575 | Jayden Fort | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Georgetown | 11 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1931 | Arden Conyers | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Charlotte | 14 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2119 | Jordi Rodriguez | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Cincinnati | 6 | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| 2185 | Major Freeman | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Charlotte | 12 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2400 | Peyton Marshall | C | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Georgia Tech | 7 | -1.1 | -0.2 |
| 2402 | Tyler McKinley | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Cincinnati | 8 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 2957 | Lance Barnes | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| 3084 | Andrew Bailey | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Charlotte | 2 | -3.0 | -0.2 |
| 3093 | Frank Oguche | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |
| 4391 | Jarne Elouna Eyenga | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Charlotte | 11 | -2.7 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Indiana State #116 | -6.8 | 29% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  Georgia State #260 | +9.8 | 79% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Seton Hall #106 | -6.8 | 29% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | vs |  App State #229 | +8.2 | 75% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Davidson #132 | -5.1 | 34% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Florida Gulf Coast #299 | +5.9 | 68% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Northern Iowa #88 | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Western Carolina #152 | +6.3 | 70% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Charleston #141 | +5.8 | 68% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs |  North Alabama #332 | +12.4 | 85% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Iona #282 | +10.9 | 81% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  UIC #120 | -5.3 | 33% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  North Carolina A&T #285 | +10.8 | 81% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Florida Atlantic #122 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Wichita State #62 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  South Florida #83 | conf | -6.9 | 29% |
| Sun Jan 10 | vs |  Temple #149 | conf | +3.0 | 60% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  UTSA #284 | conf | +7.7 | 74% |
| Sun Jan 17 | at |  North Texas #135 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Memphis #100 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Tulane #250 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs |  UAB #158 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Sun Jan 31 | at |  East Carolina #182 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | South Florida #83 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Memphis #100 | conf | -5.1 | 34% |
| Sun Feb 14 | at | UAB #158 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Florida Atlantic #122 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  Rice #262 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Sun Feb 28 | at | Wichita State #62 | conf | -7.4 | 27% |
| Wed Mar 03 | at |  Tulsa #82 | conf | -6.4 | 30% |
| Sun Mar 07 | vs | East Carolina #182 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
Projected margin is from Charlotte's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.