Teams › MVC · Compare UIC with another team
UIC
UIC returns 84% of last season's minutes and rates #125 on offense and #131 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.5 to +10.2.
Why we have them here
UIC's preseason projection of +2.9 (No. 120 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.0, about the +1.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 87 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.9, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.4. It returns 84% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (59%). The projection leans most on Ahmad Henderson II (+1.9), Mekhi Lowery (+1.5) and Rashund Washington Jr. (+1.1); the newcomer who matters most is AJ Morgan, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -4.5 to +10.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 76% · Other newcomer 8%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481 | Ahmad Henderson II | G | 5-10 | 3 | Returning | UIC | 22 | +3.4 | +1.9 |
| 696 | Mekhi Lowery | G | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | UIC | 26 | +2.3 | +1.5 |
| 829 | Rashund Washington Jr. | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | UIC | 23 | +1.9 | +1.1 |
| 1058 | Josiah Hammons | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | UIC | 17 | +1.3 | +0.6 |
| 1133 | Jayce Nathaniel | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | UIC | 20 | +1.0 | +0.5 |
| 1138 | Andy Johnson | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | UIC | 25 | +0.9 | +0.6 |
| 2454 | Tai Walters-Whitaker | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | UIC | 10 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 2677 | AJ Morgan | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.2 | -0.3 | |
| 2744 | Carlos Harris III | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | UIC | 10 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| 3010 | Nano Barrantes | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Robert Morris #113 | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  UNC Greensboro #246 | +9.6 | 78% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Saint Mary's #60 | -11.1 | 18% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Chicago State #337 | +13.3 | 86% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | vs |  Miami (OH) #96 | +3.0 | 59% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Rice #262 | +5.0 | 66% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Canisius #346 | +14.0 | 88% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Valparaiso #172 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Milwaukee #242 | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Indiana State #116 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  Charlotte #131 | +5.3 | 67% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Missouri State #201 | -1.7 | 44% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Murray State #117 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Fri Jan 01 | at |  Belmont #94 | conf | -4.5 | 36% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Southern Illinois #206 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Fri Jan 08 | at | Valparaiso #172 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Evansville #317 | conf | +4.2 | 63% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs |  Bradley #194 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Drake #104 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sun Jan 24 | vs | Belmont #94 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Northern Iowa #88 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Illinois State #108 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | Murray State #117 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Bradley #194 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Northern Iowa #88 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | Illinois State #108 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Evansville #317 | conf | +9.3 | 78% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Indiana State #116 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Southern Illinois #206 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Sun Feb 28 | vs | Drake #104 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
Projected margin is from UIC's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.