Roster Math

Teams › Big East · Compare Seton Hall with another team

Seton Hall

Seton Hall returns 26% of last season's minutes and rates #135 on offense and #85 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -2.9 to +11.6.

+4.3
Rating · #106 of 365
+1.1
Offense · #135
+3.1
Defense · #85
-2.9 to +11.6
80% range
<1%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
14-17
Projected record · 9 to 19 wins
7-13
Projected in Big East · 3 to 11 wins

Why we have them here

Seton Hall's preseason projection of +4.3 (No. 106 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.2, less than the +2.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 58 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.6, more than its neighbours' +0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.2. It returns 26% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (57%). The projection leans most on Tajuan Simpkins (+1.4), Trey Parker (+1.0) and Simeon Wilcher (+0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Simeon Wilcher, a transfer from Texas, at +0.3. Its 80% range, -2.9 to +11.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 26% · Transfer 71% · Freshman 3%

Tajuan Simpkins+1.4
Trey Parker+1.0
Simeon Wilcher+0.3
Devin Williams+0.3
Mayar Wol+0.3
Rodney Brown Jr.+0.3
Roddie Anderson III+0.1
Godswill Erheriene+0.0
Mihailo Petrovic+0.0
Assane Mbaye-0.1
Darien Moore-0.1
Jahseem Felton-0.2
Kareem Thomas-0.2
Del Jones-0.3
Chris Nwuli-0.4
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
637Tajuan SimpkinsG6-42ReturningSeton Hall20+2.8+1.4
740Trey ParkerG6-02ReturningSeton Hall15+2.7+1.0
1227Simeon WilcherG6-43TransferTexas14+0.9+0.3
1262Devin WilliamsF6-103TransferFlorida Atlantic17+0.7+0.3
1294Mayar WolF6-83TransferBowling Green16+0.7+0.3
1350Rodney Brown Jr.G6-63TransferLoyola Marymount23+0.5+0.3
1540Roddie Anderson IIIG6-34TransferXavier17+0.2+0.1
1690Godswill ErherieneC6-92ReturningSeton Hall5-0.1+0.0
1736Mihailo PetrovicG6-31TransferIllinois5-0.2+0.0
2110Darien MooreG6-20FreshmanHigh school7-0.7-0.1
2113Assane MbayeC7-21ReturningSeton Hall3-1.1-0.1
2143Kareem ThomasG6-52TransferDartmouth20-0.4-0.2
2337Del JonesG6-32TransferRadford22-0.6-0.3
2414Jahseem FeltonG6-52ReturningSeton Hall8-1.0-0.2
3510Chris NwuliF6-81TransferRutgers7-2.1-0.4

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02vsSaint Peter's #289+12.485%
Thu Nov 05vsLong Island University #210+10.079%
Mon Nov 09vsCharlotte #131+6.871%
Fri Nov 13atAlabama #17-17.68%
Thu Nov 19NWisconsin #34-6.929%
Tue Nov 24vsNew Hampshire #335+15.189%
Sat Nov 28vsSiena #208+9.578%
Fri Dec 04vsKansas State #99+5.567%
Mon Dec 07vsNJIT #347+16.291%
Sat Dec 12atRutgers #102-6.231%
Tue Dec 15vsUNC Greensboro #246+11.282%
Sat Dec 19atGeorgetown #84conf-4.436%
Wed Dec 23vsSt. John's #21conf-6.829%
Wed Dec 30atDePaul #97conf-3.539%
Sat Jan 02atXavier #57conf-7.826%
Wed Jan 06vsCreighton #41conf-3.240%
Sat Jan 09vsUConn #4conf-9.621%
Tue Jan 12atVillanova #24conf-12.116%
Fri Jan 15vsGeorgetown #84conf+0.552%
Sat Jan 23atSt. John's #21conf-12.715%
Wed Jan 27vsMarquette #47conf-2.841%
Sat Jan 30atProvidence #49conf-8.824%
Wed Feb 03vsButler #86conf+0.752%
Sun Feb 07vsDePaul #97conf+1.655%
Wed Feb 10vsVillanova #24conf-5.931%
Sun Feb 14atCreighton #41conf-9.322%
Wed Feb 17atUConn #4conf-15.310%
Sat Feb 20vsProvidence #49conf-2.741%
Tue Feb 23atMarquette #47conf-9.422%
Sun Feb 28vsXavier #57conf-1.745%
Sat Mar 06atButler #86conf-4.735%

Projected margin is from Seton Hall's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.