Teams › American · Compare UAB with another team
UAB
UAB returns 38% of last season's minutes and rates #166 on offense and #157 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.7 to +8.0.
Why we have them here
UAB's preseason projection of +0.6 (No. 158 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.9, less than the +0.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 124 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.5, about its neighbours' +0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.7. It returns 38% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (57%). The projection leans most on Ahmad Robinson (+0.8), Deuce Jones (+0.2) and Elijah Duval (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Deuce Jones, a transfer from Saint Joseph's, at +0.2. Its 80% range, -6.7 to +8.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 34% · Transfer 55% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 951 | Ahmad Robinson | G | 5-10 | 3 | Returning | UAB | 20 | +1.6 | +0.8 |
| 1394 | Deuce Jones | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | Saint Joseph's | 19 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1704 | Elijah Duval | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Southern Utah | 21 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1895 | Jeremy Elyzee | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | SE Louisiana | 22 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2115 | Daniel Rivera | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | UAB | 24 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2189 | Jorden Pittman | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.1 | -0.1 | |
| 2218 | Korie Corbett | F | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 2567 | Justin Holloway | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 3217 | Salim London | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | UAB | 16 | -1.2 | -0.5 |
| 3464 | Ari Gooch | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | UAB | 7 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| 3886 | TJ Caldwell | G | 6-4 | 4 | Transfer | Arkansas State | 16 | -1.7 | -0.7 |
| 4409 | Aleks Alston | F | 6-10 | 1 | Transfer | Maryland | 6 | -3.7 | -0.6 |
| 4811 | Justyn Fernandez | G | 6-5 | 4 | Transfer | Delaware | 26 | -2.3 | -1.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N |  McNeese #80 | -5.2 | 34% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Nicholls #267 | +9.1 | 77% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  Florida A&M #336 | +12.4 | 84% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Jacksonville State #203 | -3.2 | 40% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Florida International #143 | +4.9 | 65% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  George Washington #119 | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Rhode Island #148 | -0.3 | 49% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Samford #190 | +6.4 | 70% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Troy #155 | -6.3 | 31% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Belmont #94 | +1.1 | 54% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Western Kentucky #160 | -5.4 | 33% | |
| Thu Dec 17 | vs |  Middle Tennessee #127 | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  UNC Asheville #245 | +8.0 | 74% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Tulane #250 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  East Carolina #182 | conf | +3.0 | 59% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  Temple #149 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Fri Jan 08 | at |  Wichita State #62 | conf | -9.2 | 23% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Florida Atlantic #122 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Sun Jan 17 | vs |  Memphis #100 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | East Carolina #182 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at |  Charlotte #131 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs | Temple #149 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  Tulsa #82 | conf | -8.0 | 26% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | Memphis #100 | conf | -6.6 | 30% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs |  North Texas #135 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sun Feb 14 | vs | Charlotte #131 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at |  South Florida #83 | conf | -8.6 | 25% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at |  Rice #262 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Sun Feb 28 | vs | Tulsa #82 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs |  UTSA #284 | conf | +6.6 | 70% |
| Sun Mar 07 | at | Florida Atlantic #122 | conf | -5.0 | 35% |
Projected margin is from UAB's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.