Teams › American · Compare Wichita State with another team
Wichita State
Wichita State returns 60% of last season's minutes and rates #69 on offense and #68 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +2.5 to +17.3.
Why we have them here
Wichita State's preseason projection of +9.9 (No. 62 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +7.3, more than the +6.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 69 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.5, about its neighbours' +1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.5. It returns 60% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Will Berg (+4.4), Jahari Long (+3.3) and Dillon Battie (+2.5); the newcomer who matters most is Jahari Long, a transfer from George Mason, at +3.3. Its 80% range, +2.5 to +17.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 55% · Transfer 40% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | Will Berg | C | 7-2 | 3 | Returning | Wichita State | 23 | +7.6 | +4.4 |
| 229 | Jahari Long | G | 6-5 | 6 | Transfer | George Mason | 28 | +4.6 | +3.3 |
| 248 | Dillon Battie | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Wichita State | 18 | +5.5 | +2.5 |
| 391 | Jordan Frison | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | Chattanooga | 27 | +3.6 | +2.4 |
| 571 | TJ Williams | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Wichita State | 20 | +3.1 | +1.6 |
| 1106 | Noah Hill | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Wichita State | 9 | +1.6 | +0.4 |
| 1144 | Karon Boyd | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Wichita State | 27 | +0.8 | +0.6 |
| 1199 | Bryce Heard | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Dayton | 16 | +0.9 | +0.4 |
| 1938 | Pierre Couisnard | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.7 | -0.1 | |
| 2057 | Joy Ighovodja | F | 6-4 | 3 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |
| 2100 | Tyrus Rathan-Mayes | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.0 | -0.1 | |
| 2586 | Jaret Valencia | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Wichita State | 10 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| 2886 | Henry Thengvall | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Wichita State | 4 | -2.1 | -0.2 |
| 3951 | Cyr Malonga | C | 6-11 | 3 | Transfer | New Mexico State | 8 | -2.4 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Nov 04 | vs |  Cal State Northridge #227 | +15.3 | 89% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | N |  USC #35 | -3.2 | 40% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Austin Peay #163 | +12.5 | 84% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Loyola Chicago #166 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  New Mexico #50 | +4.1 | 63% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | vs |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | +11.5 | 83% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Kentucky #22 | -12.9 | 15% | |
| Mon Nov 30 | vs |  Southeast Missouri State #219 | +14.2 | 88% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Boise State #87 | +7.4 | 73% | |
| Fri Dec 11 | N |  Kansas State #99 | +3.4 | 61% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  South Carolina State #360 | +22.4 | 97% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  Jacksonville State #203 | +13.3 | 86% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  North Texas #135 | conf | +7.7 | 73% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Charlotte #131 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Fri Jan 08 | vs |  UAB #158 | conf | +9.2 | 77% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Memphis #100 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Sun Jan 17 | vs |  East Carolina #182 | conf | +10.0 | 79% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at | North Texas #135 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Tulsa #82 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | Memphis #100 | conf | +5.9 | 68% |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs |  UTSA #284 | conf | +13.4 | 86% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  South Florida #83 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at |  Florida Atlantic #122 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs |  Tulane #250 | conf | +11.9 | 83% |
| Sun Feb 14 | at |  Rice #262 | conf | +7.8 | 74% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | South Florida #83 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at |  Temple #149 | conf | +3.9 | 63% |
| Sun Feb 28 | vs | Charlotte #131 | conf | +7.4 | 73% |
| Wed Mar 03 | at | Tulane #250 | conf | +6.6 | 70% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Tulsa #82 | conf | +3.9 | 63% |
Projected margin is from Wichita State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.