Teams › A-10 · Compare Richmond with another team
Richmond
Richmond returns 36% of last season's minutes and rates #123 on offense and #181 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -5.5 to +9.2.
Why we have them here
Richmond's preseason projection of +1.8 (No. 136 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.9, more than the +1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 173 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.1, about its neighbours' +0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.4. It returns 36% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (50%). The projection leans most on Aiden Argabright (+2.8), Jamie Kaiser Jr. (+1.9) and Derin Saran (+1.1); the newcomer who matters most is Jamie Kaiser Jr., a transfer from Butler, at +1.9. Its 80% range, -5.5 to +9.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 31% · Transfer 59% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253 | Aiden Argabright | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | Richmond | 22 | +4.9 | +2.8 |
| 525 | Jamie Kaiser Jr. | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Butler | 26 | +3.0 | +1.9 |
| 863 | Derin Saran | G | 6-5 | 3 | Transfer | UC Irvine | 24 | +1.7 | +1.1 |
| 866 | Andrew Ball | G | 6-9 | 4 | Transfer | Monmouth | 19 | +2.0 | +0.9 |
| 1311 | Dominick Stewart | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Penn State | 19 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 1931 | Sam Simmons Jr. | G | 5-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2308 | Jack McCaffery | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Butler | 7 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 2846 | Donovan Richardson | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 3173 | Dylan Homenick | F | 6-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3200 | Will Harper III | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Richmond | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3403 | Jaylen Robinson | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Richmond | 11 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| 3482 | Kirby Mooney | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Richmond | 4 | -2.7 | -0.3 |
| 3784 | Amon Dörries | C | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | Bucknell | 24 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| 3784 | Collin Tanner | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Richmond | 15 | -1.7 | -0.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  UNC Asheville #245 | +9.3 | 77% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | N |  Temple #149 | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | at |  Southern Illinois #206 | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Virginia Tech #45 | -14.4 | 12% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  Western Kentucky #160 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Liberty #150 | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Bethune-Cookman #220 | +8.9 | 76% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  VMI #350 | +15.1 | 89% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  East Carolina #182 | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Old Dominion #297 | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Elon #198 | +8.2 | 75% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  William & Mary #168 | +7.5 | 73% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  Lafayette #342 | +13.7 | 87% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  George Mason #107 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Loyola Chicago #166 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Saint Louis #56 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Davidson #132 | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Dayton #74 | conf | -7.9 | 26% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Rhode Island #148 | conf | +3.1 | 60% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Duquesne #156 | conf | +3.6 | 61% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  George Washington #119 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  VCU #44 | conf | -10.9 | 19% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | Davidson #132 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  St. Bonaventure #126 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | George Washington #119 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | VCU #44 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Rhode Island #148 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | St. Bonaventure #126 | conf | +2.0 | 57% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at |  La Salle #218 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Wed Mar 03 | at |  Saint Joseph's #129 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs |  Fordham #125 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
Projected margin is from Richmond's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.