Teams › Summit · Compare St. Thomas-Minnesota with another team
St. Thomas-Minnesota
St. Thomas-Minnesota returns 62% of last season's minutes and rates #144 on offense and #123 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.8 to +9.8.
Why we have them here
St. Thomas-Minnesota's preseason projection of +2.5 (No. 130 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.5, less than the +1.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 94 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.9, about its neighbours' +0.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.7. It returns 62% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (53%). The projection leans most on Carter Bjerke (+2.7), Austin Herro (+2.1) and Tim Franks (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Caden Wilkins, a transfer from Green Bay, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -4.8 to +9.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 57% · Transfer 29% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 | Carter Bjerke | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 26 | +4.2 | +2.7 |
| 451 | Austin Herro | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 24 | +3.5 | +2.1 |
| 1590 | Tim Franks | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 13 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2012 | Hayden Tibbits | G | 5-11 | 2 | Returning | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 15 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2052 | Caden Wilkins | F | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Green Bay | 23 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2764 | Jeremy Lorenz | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | DePaul | 13 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| 2993 | Luka Momcilovic | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.5 | -0.3 | |
| 3010 | Jack Tauer | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 8 | -1.5 | -0.3 |
| 3368 | Kyle Counts | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3574 | Tommy Humphries Jr. | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 |
| 3578 | Zyier Beverly | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Binghamton | 23 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| 3698 | Adam Tauer | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 9 | -2.1 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Presbyterian #243 | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Minnesota #65 | -11.0 | 18% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | vs |  Green Bay #281 | +10.8 | 81% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Army #314 | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Long Island University #210 | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | vs |  Southeast Missouri State #219 | +9.2 | 77% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Milwaukee #242 | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  UNC Wilmington #101 | -6.8 | 29% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | N |  Liberty #150 | +1.0 | 53% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | N |  Princeton #164 | +1.5 | 55% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Bucknell #313 | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Thu Dec 10 | vs |  UNC Asheville #245 | +9.7 | 79% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Arkansas State #134 | +6.3 | 69% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  UC San Diego #77 | +1.8 | 56% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Stanford #69 | -11.2 | 18% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  North Dakota State #225 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Sun Jan 10 | vs |  North Dakota #310 | conf | +9.6 | 78% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Omaha #274 | conf | +7.8 | 74% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Oral Roberts #323 | conf | +5.6 | 68% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Kansas City #338 | conf | +5.9 | 68% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  South Dakota State #213 | conf | +5.8 | 68% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  South Dakota #322 | conf | +10.6 | 80% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | North Dakota #310 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | North Dakota State #225 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Omaha #274 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Kansas City #338 | conf | +11.3 | 82% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | Oral Roberts #323 | conf | +10.4 | 80% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | South Dakota #322 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | South Dakota State #213 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
Projected margin is from St. Thomas-Minnesota's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.