Teams › OVC · Compare Southeast Missouri State with another team
Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State returns 91% of last season's minutes and rates #313 on offense and #104 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.7 to +5.0.
Why we have them here
Southeast Missouri State's preseason projection of -2.3 (No. 219 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.0, about the -1.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 217 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, about its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.0. It returns 91% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Brendan Terry (+1.9), Marqueas Bell (+1.2) and Darrion Sutton (+0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Darrion Sutton, a transfer from Missouri State, at +0.5. Its 80% range, -9.7 to +5.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 86% · Transfer 9% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 529 | Brendan Terry | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 24 | +3.0 | +1.9 |
| 752 | Marqueas Bell | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 22 | +2.2 | +1.2 |
| 1111 | Darrion Sutton | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Missouri State | 18 | +1.1 | +0.5 |
| 1338 | Landren Blocker | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 21 | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| 1545 | Elliot Lowndes | F | 7-0 | 2 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 12 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 3234 | David Idada | C | 7-0 | 3 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 13 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| 3730 | Saxton Hoepker | F | 6-8 | 2 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.0 | -0.5 | |
| 4305 | Trace Sadler | F | 7-1 | 1 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 8 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| 4333 | PJ Farmer | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 12 | -2.5 | -0.8 |
| 4454 | BJ Ward | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 25 | -1.8 | -1.1 |
| 4485 | Troy Cole Jr. | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 15 | -2.4 | -0.9 |
| 4572 | Jay Reynolds | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 8 | -3.5 | -0.7 |
| 4696 | Blaize Sagna | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Southeast Missouri State | 11 | -3.2 | -0.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Lipscomb #118 | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | at |  South Carolina #98 | -12.0 | 17% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Middle Tennessee #127 | -9.4 | 22% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | at |  St. Thomas-Minnesota #130 | -9.2 | 23% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | +5.4 | 67% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Kansas City #338 | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Mon Nov 30 | at |  Wichita State #62 | -14.2 | 12% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Southern Illinois #206 | -6.0 | 32% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs | Kansas City #338 | +10.9 | 81% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at | Lipscomb #118 | -10.0 | 21% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Eastern Illinois #324 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Southern Indiana #315 | conf | +6.3 | 70% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  UT Martin #271 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Western Illinois #362 | conf | +12.0 | 84% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Lindenwood #258 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  SIU Edwardsville #234 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | Eastern Illinois #324 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Tennessee State #154 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | Western Illinois #362 | conf | +8.2 | 75% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  Morehead State #265 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Southern Indiana #315 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | UT Martin #271 | conf | +4.2 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | SIU Edwardsville #234 | conf | +3.1 | 60% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Lindenwood #258 | conf | +4.0 | 62% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Morehead State #265 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Tennessee State #154 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
Projected margin is from Southeast Missouri State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.