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Kansas City
Kansas City returns 64% of last season's minutes and rates #323 on offense and #329 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -16.7 to -2.5.
Why we have them here
Kansas City's preseason projection of -9.6 (No. 338 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.7, about the -5.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 361 at the end of 2025-26) adds -4.2, less than its neighbours' -2.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.0. It returns 64% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (75%). The projection leans most on Jaylen Smith (+0.8), Assane Diop (+0.0) and Cameron Love (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Jaylen Smith, a transfer from East Tennessee State, at +0.8. Its 80% range, -16.7 to -2.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 54% · Transfer 25% · Freshman 11% · Other newcomer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 930 | Jaylen Smith | G | 5-11 | 3 | Transfer | East Tennessee State | 17 | +1.8 | +0.8 |
| 1603 | Assane Diop | F | 6-9 | 3 | Transfer | San Diego | 12 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2403 | Cameron Love | F | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 4 | -1.5 | -0.1 |
| 2771 | Sebastian Hartmann | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Chattanooga | 11 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| 3010 | Jayson Petty | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Kansas City | 22 | -0.9 | -0.5 |
| 3035 | DJ Jackson | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -2.1 | -0.2 |
| 3156 | Elliot Moskowitz | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 4 | -2.3 | -0.2 |
| 3194 | Matija Samar | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Oregon State | 10 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| 3255 | Josh Kori | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 4 | -2.5 | -0.2 |
| 3482 | Will Goode | F | 6-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -2.4 | -0.3 |
| 4139 | Chris Dockery | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Kansas City | 13 | -2.1 | -0.7 |
| 4300 | Cory Curtis Jr. | F | 6-4 | 2 | Other newcomer | 7 | -3.3 | -0.5 | |
| 4372 | Kernan Bundy | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Kansas City | 6 | -3.6 | -0.5 |
| 4401 | Max Sims | F | 6-6 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -3.4 | -0.6 | |
| 4450 | Jason Hilliard | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -3.5 | -0.6 | |
| 4649 | Kasheem Grady II | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Kansas City | 16 | -2.6 | -1.0 |
| 4745 | Karmello Branch | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Kansas City | 18 | -2.6 | -1.2 |
| 4881 | Trey Booker-Lowery | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Kansas City | 5 | -5.6 | -0.7 |
| 4909 | Jamaria Clark | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Kansas City | 6 | -5.2 | -0.8 |
| 4915 | Addarin Scott | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Kansas City | 6 | -5.1 | -0.8 |
| 5180 | CJ Evans | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | Kansas City | 17 | -4.6 | -2.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -22.9 | 3% | ||
| Fri Nov 06 | vs | +0.4 | 51% | ||
| Mon Nov 09 | at | -10.1 | 21% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | N | +0.0 | 50% | ||
| Thu Nov 12 | N | -9.2 | 23% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | at | -8.8 | 24% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | vs | +2.9 | 59% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | vs | +0.7 | 52% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | N | -7.5 | 27% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | vs | +1.6 | 55% | ||
| Wed Dec 09 | vs | +5.1 | 66% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | at | -10.9 | 19% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | +2.2 | 57% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | vs | +1.5 | 55% | ||
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +2.0 | 57% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at | conf | -7.1 | 28% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -3.9 | 37% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | conf | -0.4 | 49% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -5.9 | 32% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +2.0 | 56% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | conf | -4.0 | 37% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -7.7 | 27% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | conf | +1.3 | 54% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -2.2 | 43% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | conf | -11.3 | 18% | |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | conf | -5.2 | 34% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
Projected margin is from Kansas City's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.