Teams › Big West · Compare UC San Diego with another team
UC San Diego
UC San Diego returns 62% of last season's minutes and rates #96 on offense and #63 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +0.9 to +15.3.
Why we have them here
UC San Diego's preseason projection of +8.1 (No. 77 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +3.5, less than the +4.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 160 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.1, less than its neighbours' +1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +4.1. It returns 62% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (41%). The projection leans most on Treysen Eaglestaff (+2.2), Leo Beath (+1.2) and Emanuel Prospere II (+1.2); the newcomer who matters most is Treysen Eaglestaff, a transfer from West Virginia, at +2.2. Its 80% range, +0.9 to +15.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 60% · Transfer 38% · Other newcomer 2%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338 | Treysen Eaglestaff | F | 6-6 | 4 | Transfer | West Virginia | 19 | +4.8 | +2.2 |
| 636 | Emanuel Prospere II | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | UC San Diego | 13 | +3.5 | +1.2 |
| 723 | Alex Chaikin | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | UC San Diego | 17 | +2.7 | +1.1 |
| 728 | Leo Beath | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | UC San Diego | 21 | +2.4 | +1.2 |
| 892 | Tom Beattie | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | UC San Diego | 19 | +1.8 | +0.9 |
| 1046 | Rahmir Barno | G | 6-0 | 3 | Transfer | Florida Gulf Coast | 19 | +1.3 | +0.6 |
| 1333 | Kayde Dotson | G | 6-1 | 2 | Transfer | Loyola Chicago | 14 | +0.6 | +0.2 |
| 1407 | Camp Wagner | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Indiana State | 16 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1559 | Bol Dengdit | F | 6-11 | 3 | Returning | UC San Diego | 13 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1650 | Olavi Suutela | F | 6-10 | 1 | Transfer | Oregon State | 9 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1761 | Aidan Burke | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | UC San Diego | 12 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| 1899 | Cade Pendleton | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | UC San Diego | 4 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| 2075 | Yaqub Mir | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | UC San Diego | 2 | -1.3 | -0.1 |
| 2089 | Jasen Brooks | F | 6-0 | 2 | Other newcomer | 2 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| 2113 | Jaden Vance | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | UC San Diego | 6 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| 2191 | Tyson Dunn | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 2 | -1.4 | -0.1 | |
| 2288 | Dimitrije Vukicevic | C | 7-0 | 1 | Returning | UC San Diego | 4 | -1.3 | -0.1 |
| 2336 | Ryder Elisaldez | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | UC San Diego | 3 | -1.6 | -0.1 |
| 2384 | Christopher Cox | G | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | UC San Diego | 2 | -2.1 | -0.1 |
| 3229 | Trap Johnson | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | UC San Diego | 4 | -2.4 | -0.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Fresno State #221 | +12.2 | 84% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Utah State #29 | -11.5 | 17% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | vs |  Texas Southern #331 | +17.0 | 92% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Seattle U #111 | +3.0 | 60% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Loyola Marymount #170 | +10.8 | 81% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | vs |  California Baptist #157 | conf | +6.9 | 71% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  UC Irvine #105 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  St. Thomas-Minnesota #130 | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  San José State #187 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | +6.3 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Long Beach State #278 | conf | +7.6 | 73% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  Utah Valley #112 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Sacramento State #199 | conf | +9.1 | 77% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  UC Riverside #252 | conf | +5.6 | 68% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | California Baptist #157 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | Long Beach State #278 | conf | +11.3 | 82% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | +10.6 | 80% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Cal Poly #223 | conf | +5.6 | 67% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs |  Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | +10.0 | 79% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Cal State Bakersfield #328 | conf | +13.8 | 87% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Sacramento State #199 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Utah Valley #112 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | UC Riverside #252 | conf | +10.2 | 80% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | UC Irvine #105 | conf | +4.7 | 65% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Cal Poly #223 | conf | +10.0 | 79% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | +4.3 | 64% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Cal State Bakersfield #328 | conf | +8.0 | 74% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
Projected margin is from UC San Diego's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.