Teams › ACC · Compare Stanford with another team
Stanford
Stanford returns 41% of last season's minutes and rates #75 on both offense and defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +1.7 to +16.4.
Why we have them here
Stanford's preseason projection of +9.0 (No. 69 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +5.2, about the +5.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 79 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.3, about its neighbours' +1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.0. It returns 41% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Nick Townsend (+4.7), Christian Bliss (+4.5) and Austin Maurer (+1.8); the newcomer who matters most is Nick Townsend, a transfer from Yale, at +4.7. Its 80% range, +1.7 to +16.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 38% · Transfer 38% · Freshman 21% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | Nick Townsend | F | 6-7 | 4 | Transfer | Yale | 28 | +6.7 | +4.7 |
| 112 | Christian Bliss | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Delaware | 31 | +5.8 | +4.5 |
| 422 | Austin Maurer | C | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Seattle U | 17 | +4.4 | +1.8 |
| 1014 | Jeremy Dent-Smith | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Stanford | 19 | +1.4 | +0.7 |
| 1297 | Aidan Cammann | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Stanford | 19 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 1390 | Aziz Olajuwon | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | +0.5 | +0.1 |
| 1750 | Isaiah Rogers | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| 2085 | Anthony Batson Jr. | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.0 | -0.1 | |
| 2085 | Myles Jones | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.0 | -0.1 | |
| 2104 | Julius Price | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| 2104 | Ethan Kitch | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Stanford | 4 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| 2220 | Elias Obenyah | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| 2231 | Evan Stinson | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Stanford | 5 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| 2264 | Drew Anderson | F | 6-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 2333 | Kristers Skrinda | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Stanford | 6 | -1.1 | -0.2 |
| 2455 | Tallis Toure | F | 6-11 | 2 | Returning | Stanford | 4 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| 3038 | Cameron Grant | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Stanford | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| 4087 | Donavin Young | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Stanford | 11 | -2.3 | -0.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Eastern Washington #146 | +12.0 | 84% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Oakland #159 | +12.7 | 85% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  Rice #262 | +15.7 | 90% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  UNLV #139 | -0.6 | 48% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  UC Irvine #105 | +10.1 | 79% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | vs |  Sacramento State #199 | +14.6 | 88% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Colorado #85 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Portland #339 | +19.8 | 95% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Texas A&M #31 | -10.9 | 19% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs |  Pacific #175 | +12.5 | 85% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | vs |  Northern Colorado #128 | +11.3 | 82% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  San José State #187 | +13.0 | 86% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  St. Thomas-Minnesota #130 | +11.2 | 82% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Notre Dame #75 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Louisville #7 | conf | -12.0 | 17% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Virginia #19 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Florida State #90 | conf | +5.3 | 66% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Duke #2 | conf | -15.1 | 11% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  North Carolina #54 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  California #115 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Syracuse #71 | conf | +3.6 | 62% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  NC State #36 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at |  Georgia Tech #140 | conf | +3.0 | 60% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  SMU #53 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs |  Miami #18 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Virginia Tech #45 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Syracuse #71 | conf | -3.3 | 39% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  Clemson #46 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs |  Wake Forest #76 | conf | +4.2 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs |  Boston College #114 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | California #115 | conf | +7.5 | 73% |
Projected margin is from Stanford's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.