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Milwaukee
Milwaukee returns 65% of last season's minutes and rates #233 on offense and #252 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.9 to +3.9.
Why we have them here
Milwaukee's preseason projection of -3.6 (No. 242 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.7, less than the -2.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 263 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, about its neighbours' -0.7; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.7. It returns 65% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Chandler Jackson (+1.0), Aaron Franklin (+0.1) and Jake Hansen (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Jake Hansen, a transfer from Oklahoma, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -10.9 to +3.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 60% · Transfer 17% · Other newcomer 12%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 890 | Chandler Jackson | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Milwaukee | 24 | +1.7 | +1.0 |
| 1454 | Aaron Franklin | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Milwaukee | 25 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2137 | Jake Hansen | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | Oklahoma | 10 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2527 | Tre Norman | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Marquette | 14 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 3799 | Ned Renfree | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -1.9 | -0.6 | |
| 3807 | Austin Villarreal | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Milwaukee | 8 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
| 4012 | Aaron Womack | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.1 | -0.6 | |
| 4281 | Al Amadou | F | 6-9 | 3 | Transfer | Saint Joseph's | 10 | -2.6 | -0.7 |
| 4560 | Isaiah Dorceus | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Milwaukee | 22 | -2.1 | -1.2 |
| 4618 | Esyah Pippa-White | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Milwaukee | 20 | -2.3 | -1.2 |
| 4835 | Simeon Murchison | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Milwaukee | 10 | -3.9 | -0.9 |
| 4976 | Tate Mackenzie | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Milwaukee | 10 | -4.2 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -19.2 | 6% | ||
| Wed Nov 04 | at | -15.6 | 10% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | at | -11.2 | 18% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | at | -17.7 | 8% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | vs | +1.6 | 55% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | at | -31.4 | <1% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | at | -13.6 | 13% | ||
| Thu Dec 03 | vs | conf | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at | conf | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | at | -6.5 | 30% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | vs | +1.3 | 54% | ||
| Tue Dec 15 | at | -1.7 | 44% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | at | -20.3 | 5% | ||
| Wed Dec 30 | at | conf | +0.7 | 52% | |
| Sun Jan 03 | at | conf | -5.1 | 34% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | +1.7 | 55% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at | conf | -3.9 | 38% | |
| Sun Jan 17 | vs | conf | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | -1.0 | 47% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | conf | -2.2 | 43% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +6.6 | 70% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | conf | +3.9 | 63% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | conf | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | -5.0 | 34% | |
| Fri Feb 19 | vs | conf | +4.3 | 64% | |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | conf | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | conf | -7.2 | 28% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
Projected margin is from Milwaukee's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.