Roster Math

Teams › Metro · Compare Quinnipiac with another team

Quinnipiac

Quinnipiac returns 67% of last season's minutes and rates #231 on offense and #185 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.0 to +5.5.

-1.7
Rating · #200 of 365
-1.8
Offense · #231
+0.0
Defense · #185
-9.0 to +5.5
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
16-14
Projected record · 10 to 21 wins
12-8
Projected in Metro · 7 to 16 wins

Why we have them here

Quinnipiac's preseason projection of -1.7 (No. 200 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.3, about the -1.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 166 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.0, about its neighbours' -0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.7. It returns 67% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Keith McKnight (+1.8), Tai Turnage (+1.3) and Asim Jones (+1.0); the newcomer who matters most is Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -9.0 to +5.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 63% · Transfer 12% · Other newcomer 25%

Keith McKnight+1.8
Tai Turnage+1.3
Asim Jones+1.0
Samson Reilly+0.2
Christopher Skenderi-0.2
Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton-0.3
Nedas Cholevinskas-0.3
Malik Fields-0.3
Lucas Sekasi-0.3
Jayden Reid-0.4
Ali Diouf-0.4
Akintola Akinniyi-0.5
Braylan Ritvo-0.5
Sam Nosakhare-0.6
Nas Hart-0.7
Nate Guerengomba-1.1
Holden Pierre-Louis-1.4
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
533Keith McKnightG6-71ReturningQuinnipiac23+3.0+1.8
645Tai TurnageG6-01ReturningQuinnipiac18+3.0+1.3
912Asim JonesG6-22ReturningQuinnipiac25+1.6+1.0
1335Samson ReillyG6-21ReturningQuinnipiac13+0.7+0.2
2213Christopher SkenderiF6-71ReturningQuinnipiac8-0.8-0.2
2947Tayeshawn Cunningham-PembertonF6-30Other newcomer8-1.5-0.3
2993Malik FieldsF6-40Other newcomer8-1.5-0.3
3022Nedas CholevinskasF6-50Other newcomer8-1.6-0.3
3114Lucas SekasiF6-60Other newcomer8-1.7-0.3
3415Jayden ReidF6-90Other newcomer8-1.8-0.4
3415Ali DioufF6-90Other newcomer8-1.8-0.4
3990Akintola AkinniyiF6-72ReturningQuinnipiac7-2.6-0.5
4016Braylan RitvoF6-81ReturningQuinnipiac9-2.4-0.5
4104Sam NosakhareF6-91ReturningQuinnipiac10-2.4-0.6
4185Nas HartF6-101TransferLa Salle11-2.4-0.7
4767Nate GuerengombaG6-42ReturningQuinnipiac14-3.1-1.1
5080Holden Pierre-LouisF6-82TransferCleveland State13-4.3-1.4

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atMichigan State #6-23.83%
Thu Nov 05vsBryant #327+9.879%
Sun Nov 08atVermont #202-5.632%
Thu Nov 12vsMonmouth #216+5.567%
Sun Nov 15atCentral Connecticut #316-0.449%
Thu Nov 19vsMaine #318+9.578%
Sun Nov 29atYale #95-11.518%
Fri Dec 04atIona #282conf+0.251%
Sun Dec 06vsSiena #208conf+2.057%
Sat Dec 12vsHofstra #124+1.956%
Sat Dec 19atUCLA #28-19.06%
Mon Dec 21atPepperdine #249-3.639%
Tue Dec 29atRider #351conf+5.367%
Fri Jan 01vsSaint Peter's #289conf+5.066%
Sun Jan 03atMerrimack #176conf-2.841%
Fri Jan 08atManhattan #309conf+2.157%
Sun Jan 10vsMarist #205conf+2.057%
Sat Jan 16vsNiagara #329conf+6.570%
Mon Jan 18atSacred Heart #272conf-0.549%
Fri Jan 22vsIona #282conf+5.065%
Sun Jan 24vsFairfield #248conf+3.461%
Fri Jan 29atSiena #208conf-1.944%
Sun Jan 31vsRider #351conf+9.277%
Fri Feb 05atCanisius #346conf+4.364%
Sun Feb 07atNiagara #329conf+3.260%
Thu Feb 11vsManhattan #309conf+6.069%
Sat Feb 13atFairfield #248conf-0.848%
Sun Feb 21vsMount St. Mary's #204conf+2.056%
Fri Feb 26atSaint Peter's #289conf+0.752%
Sun Feb 28vsMerrimack #176conf+1.053%

Projected margin is from Quinnipiac's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.