Teams › Big East · Compare St. John's with another team
St. John's
St. John's returns 21% of last season's minutes and rates #39 on offense and #12 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +11.2 to +25.5.
Why we have them here
St. John's's preseason projection of +18.4 (No. 21 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +8.6, less than the +10.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 16 at the end of 2025-26) adds +3.5, about its neighbours' +3.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +3.0. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.7, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 21% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (30%). The projection leans most on Keyshawn Hall (+4.1), Donnie Freeman (+3.4) and Tounde Yessoufou (+2.9); the newcomer who matters most is Keyshawn Hall, a transfer from Auburn, at +4.1. Its 80% range, +11.2 to +25.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 20% · Transfer 53% · Other newcomer 27%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | Keyshawn Hall | F | 6-7 | 4 | Transfer | Auburn | 26 | +6.3 | +4.1 |
| 165 | Donnie Freeman | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Syracuse | 24 | +5.7 | +3.4 |
| 248 | Tounde Yessoufou | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Baylor | 25 | +4.7 | +2.9 |
| 297 | Quinn Ellis | G | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 23 | +4.6 | +2.6 | |
| 553 | Babacar Sane | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 16 | +3.6 | +1.4 | |
| 664 | Ruben Prey | F | 6-11 | 2 | Returning | St. John's | 11 | +3.7 | +1.0 |
| 715 | Ian Jackson | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | St. John's | 15 | +2.9 | +1.1 |
| 927 | Reed Bailey | F | 6-10 | 4 | Transfer | Indiana | 14 | +2.0 | +0.7 |
| 1091 | Zsombor Maronka | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | +1.6 | +0.4 | |
| 1418 | Fotis Konstantinidis | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | St. John's | 4 | +0.8 | +0.1 |
| 1446 | Lefteris Liotopoulos | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | St. John's | 7 | +0.5 | +0.1 |
| 1732 | Imran Suljanovic | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 2 | -0.3 | +0.0 | |
| 1923 | Casper Pohto | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | St. John's | 5 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| 2009 | Lazar Stojkovic | C | 7-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 1 | -1.6 | +0.0 | |
| 2226 | Theo Edema | C | 6-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 2 | -1.5 | -0.1 | |
| 3547 | Avery Brown | G | 6-4 | 4 | Transfer | Columbia | 7 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| 4419 | Kyle Cuffe Jr. | G | 6-2 | 4 | Transfer | Mercer | 10 | -2.9 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | +20.9 | 95% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | vs |  Iona #282 | +24.2 | 97% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Colgate #197 | +20.6 | 95% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | vs |  Syracuse #71 | +13.2 | 86% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Siena #208 | +20.0 | 95% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Oregon #58 | +5.3 | 67% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  Columbia #169 | +19.4 | 94% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Arizona #3 | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Wagner #291 | +23.6 | 97% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | N |  Alabama #17 | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  DePaul #97 | conf | +11.7 | 83% |
| Wed Dec 23 | at |  Seton Hall #106 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Providence #49 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Butler #86 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Georgetown #84 | conf | +10.6 | 81% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | Providence #49 | conf | +8.0 | 74% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Creighton #41 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at | DePaul #97 | conf | +6.1 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Seton Hall #106 | conf | +12.7 | 85% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at |  Xavier #57 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Fri Jan 29 | vs |  UConn #4 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Tue Feb 02 | at |  Marquette #47 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Villanova #24 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | Creighton #41 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Xavier #57 | conf | +8.8 | 76% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Marquette #47 | conf | +7.6 | 73% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Georgetown #84 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Tue Feb 23 | vs | Villanova #24 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Butler #86 | conf | +11.2 | 82% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | UConn #4 | conf | -6.7 | 29% |
Projected margin is from St. John's's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.