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Loyola Chicago
Loyola Chicago returns 20% of last season's minutes and rates #246 on offense and #102 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.3 to +7.4.
Why we have them here
Loyola Chicago's preseason projection of +0.1 (No. 166 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.8, about the +0.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 322 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.0, less than its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.0. It returns 20% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (62%). The projection leans most on Chris Jeffrey (+1.1), Dayan Nessah (+1.0) and Jason Schofield (+1.0); the newcomer who matters most is Chris Jeffrey, a transfer from Villanova, at +1.1. Its 80% range, -7.3 to +7.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 20% · Transfer 67% · Freshman 8%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 667 | Chris Jeffrey | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Villanova | 13 | +3.4 | +1.1 |
| 771 | Malick Diallo | C | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | TCU | 11 | +3.0 | +0.9 |
| 824 | Jason Schofield | C | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Marist | 17 | +2.2 | +1.0 |
| 865 | Dayan Nessah | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Cleveland State | 23 | +1.8 | +1.0 |
| 1076 | Donald Hand Jr. | G | 6-5 | 4 | Transfer | Boston College | 25 | +1.1 | +0.7 |
| 1093 | Ryan Agarwal | G | 6-6 | 4 | Transfer | Stanford | 22 | +1.1 | +0.6 |
| 1965 | Alexander Richardson | C | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Loyola Chicago | 13 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2258 | Ryan Kreager | C | 6-10 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 6 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2475 | Jaxson Terry | F | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 3310 | Eddie Ricks III | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | James Madison | 22 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| 4207 | Sam Yurasek | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Loyola Chicago | 5 | -3.4 | -0.5 |
| 4272 | Zachary Royster | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Loyola Chicago | 6 | -3.3 | -0.5 |
| 4511 | Nic Anderson | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Loyola Chicago | 16 | -2.4 | -0.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  The Citadel #345 | +12.8 | 85% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  West Georgia #295 | +10.4 | 80% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Air Force #357 | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Colorado State #67 | -11.7 | 17% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Wichita State #62 | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  San José State #187 | +0.7 | 52% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Seattle U #111 | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | at |  Massachusetts #178 | -5.3 | 33% | |
| Thu Dec 10 | at |  Howard #196 | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  IU Indianapolis #279 | +10.3 | 79% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | N |  Florida Atlantic #122 | -1.9 | 44% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | N |  Nevada #66 | -6.3 | 30% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  George Washington #119 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Richmond #136 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Dayton #74 | conf | -8.9 | 24% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Duquesne #156 | conf | +2.3 | 58% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Saint Louis #56 | conf | -10.8 | 19% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Davidson #132 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  George Mason #107 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  St. Bonaventure #126 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Davidson #132 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs | Dayton #74 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Duquesne #156 | conf | -3.0 | 41% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | Saint Louis #56 | conf | -4.9 | 34% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Rhode Island #148 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at |  Saint Joseph's #129 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  La Salle #218 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs |  Fordham #125 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs |  VCU #44 | conf | -6.2 | 31% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | George Washington #119 | conf | -5.1 | 34% |
Projected margin is from Loyola Chicago's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.