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McNeese
McNeese returns 63% of last season's minutes and rates #99 on offense and #64 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +0.6 to +15.2.
Why we have them here
McNeese's preseason projection of +7.9 (No. 80 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +3.9, about the +4.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 33 at the end of 2025-26) adds +2.7, more than its neighbours' +1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.8. It returns 63% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (41%). The projection leans most on Larry Johnson (+4.8), Corey Chest (+1.6) and Yanis Ndjonga (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Corey Chest, a transfer from Ole Miss, at +1.6. Its 80% range, +0.6 to +15.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 52% · Transfer 28% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 14%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | Larry Johnson | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | McNeese | 26 | +7.3 | +4.8 |
| 490 | Corey Chest | F | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | Ole Miss | 17 | +3.9 | +1.6 |
| 873 | Yanis Ndjonga | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | McNeese | 16 | +2.1 | +0.8 |
| 1168 | Jacolb Fredson-Cole | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | McNeese | 19 | +0.9 | +0.5 |
| 1184 | Jaylon Dean-Vines | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Vanderbilt | 10 | +1.2 | +0.3 |
| 1212 | Carl Cherenfant | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | McNeese | 18 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| 1275 | Peitok Machar | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | McNeese | 16 | +0.7 | +0.3 |
| 1306 | Elijah Moore | G | 2 | Transfer | Utah | 10 | +0.8 | +0.2 | |
| 1727 | JJ Rembert | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | McNeese | 10 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1767 | Kaleb Brewer | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -0.3 | +0.0 | |
| 1828 | Erik Villarreal | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 5 | -0.4 | +0.0 | |
| 1840 | T'Johnn Brown | G | 5-11 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -0.4 | -0.1 | |
| 2155 | Abdou Akim Mazou Tahirou | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.8 | -0.1 | |
| 2201 | Christian Nitu | F | 6-11 | 2 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |
| 2387 | Alier Maluk | F | 6-11 | 2 | Transfer | Florida State | 10 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 3269 | MJ Madison | F | 6-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| 3532 | Dellquan Warren | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | Mississippi State | 10 | -1.8 | -0.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N |  UAB #158 | +5.2 | 66% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  North Texas #135 | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  Texas State #183 | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Louisiana #294 | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Houston Christian #273 | conf | +11.6 | 83% |
| Mon Dec 07 | vs |  Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +13.2 | 86% |
| Thu Dec 10 | vs |  Southern Miss #214 | +13.4 | 86% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | N |  Loyola Marymount #170 | +5.6 | 68% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | N |  Santa Clara #63 | -1.4 | 46% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Northwestern State #277 | conf | +6.1 | 69% |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  East Texas A&M #319 | conf | +8.9 | 76% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Lamar #238 | conf | +10.7 | 81% |
| Mon Jan 04 | vs |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | +8.2 | 75% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  SE Louisiana #286 | conf | +7.4 | 73% |
| Mon Jan 11 | at |  Nicholls #267 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | +9.3 | 77% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | +7.7 | 74% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at | Lamar #238 | conf | +5.3 | 67% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | SE Louisiana #286 | conf | +12.3 | 84% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at |  New Orleans #303 | conf | +8.9 | 76% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +8.1 | 75% |
| Mon Feb 08 | at | Houston Christian #273 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | East Texas A&M #319 | conf | +14.4 | 88% |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | Northwestern State #277 | conf | +11.8 | 83% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Mon Feb 22 | at | UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | +4.3 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Nicholls #267 | conf | +12.0 | 83% |
| Mon Mar 01 | vs | New Orleans #303 | conf | +13.7 | 86% |
Projected margin is from McNeese's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.