Teams › A-10 · Compare Duquesne with another team
Duquesne
Duquesne returns 52% of last season's minutes and rates #158 on offense and #177 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.7 to +8.0.
Why we have them here
Duquesne's preseason projection of +0.7 (No. 156 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.0, less than the +0.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 162 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.2, about its neighbours' +0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.1. It returns 52% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (57%). The projection leans most on Tarence Guinyard (+4.9), Josh Smith (+1.4) and Stephen Olowoniyi (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Josh Smith, a transfer from West Georgia, at +1.4. Its 80% range, -6.7 to +8.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 41% · Transfer 38% · Other newcomer 11%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | Tarence Guinyard | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Duquesne | 31 | +6.4 | +4.9 |
| 747 | Josh Smith | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | West Georgia | 27 | +2.0 | +1.4 |
| 2451 | Stephen Olowoniyi | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Oregon State | 10 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 2813 | Izaiah Pasha | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Virginia Tech | 13 | -1.1 | -0.4 |
| 3016 | Arness Lawson | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.4 | -0.4 | |
| 3517 | Ethan Anish | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Duquesne | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| 3524 | Lucas Prolla | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Duquesne | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| 3689 | Frederik Jellum | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.9 | -0.5 | |
| 3934 | Kerem Konan | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Creighton | 13 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| 4083 | Ege Demir | C | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | Oregon | 12 | -2.1 | -0.7 |
| 4954 | Jake DiMichele | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Duquesne | 16 | -3.3 | -1.3 |
| 5221 | Brandon Hall | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Duquesne | 18 | -5.4 | -2.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | vs |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | +7.8 | 74% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Washington State #162 | +6.0 | 69% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Binghamton #330 | +12.3 | 84% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | N |  Howard #196 | +1.5 | 55% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Wyoming #121 | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  High Point #40 | -9.4 | 23% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  South Carolina State #360 | +16.5 | 91% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | N |  Kansas City #338 | +7.5 | 73% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | N |  Robert Morris #113 | -2.1 | 43% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Canisius #346 | +13.6 | 87% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Delaware #325 | +11.9 | 83% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | vs |  Niagara #329 | +11.7 | 83% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Davidson #132 | conf | +1.5 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  VCU #44 | conf | -12.0 | 17% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Rhode Island #148 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Loyola Chicago #166 | conf | -2.3 | 42% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Fordham #125 | conf | +1.1 | 53% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Richmond #136 | conf | -3.6 | 39% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | Rhode Island #148 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs |  Dayton #74 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  St. Bonaventure #126 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at |  George Washington #119 | conf | -4.9 | 35% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Loyola Chicago #166 | conf | +3.0 | 59% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at |  La Salle #218 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Dayton #74 | conf | -8.9 | 24% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  George Mason #107 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs |  Saint Joseph's #129 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | St. Bonaventure #126 | conf | -3.6 | 38% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs |  Saint Louis #56 | conf | -5.0 | 35% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Davidson #132 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
Projected margin is from Duquesne's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.