Teams › SoCon · Compare The Citadel with another team
The Citadel
The Citadel returns 83% of last season's minutes and rates #318 on offense and #358 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -18.2 to -3.8.
Why we have them here
The Citadel's preseason projection of -11.1 (No. 345 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -6.3, about the -6.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 348 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.6, about its neighbours' -2.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.5. It returns 83% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (77%). The projection leans most on Logan Applegate (+1.0), Tyler Mrus (-0.1) and Joe Hurlburt (-0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Tyler Mrus, a transfer from BYU, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -18.2 to -3.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 83% · Transfer 17%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 | Logan Applegate | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 18 | +2.3 | +1.0 |
| 1976 | Tyler Mrus | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | BYU | 12 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 3169 | Braxton Williams | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 25 | -1.0 | -0.6 |
| 3702 | Joe Hurlburt | G | 6-11 | 3 | Transfer | Davidson | 11 | -1.8 | -0.5 |
| 4221 | Chase Cormier | G | 6-2 | 4 | Transfer | Iona | 11 | -2.4 | -0.7 |
| 4226 | Keynan Davis | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | The Citadel | 14 | -2.2 | -0.7 |
| 4244 | Rowan Irelan | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | The Citadel | 7 | -3.2 | -0.5 |
| 4311 | Dante Kearse | F | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | The Citadel | 13 | -2.4 | -0.8 |
| 4478 | Jameson Heck | G | 5-7 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 6 | -3.9 | -0.6 |
| 4516 | Cassius Bonjasky | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 9 | -3.3 | -0.7 |
| 4542 | Jack Walter | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 5 | -4.2 | -0.6 |
| 4566 | Chase Williams | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 7 | -3.8 | -0.6 |
| 4604 | Aidan Alexander | F | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 5 | -4.4 | -0.6 |
| 4836 | Logan Menefee | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 6 | -5.0 | -0.7 |
| 4879 | Gabe Hernandez | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 9 | -4.1 | -0.9 |
| 5059 | Marcos Gonzales | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 12 | -4.3 | -1.3 |
| 5098 | Simeon German | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | The Citadel | 10 | -5.1 | -1.3 |
| 5106 | Eze Wali | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | The Citadel | 20 | -3.7 | -1.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Loyola Chicago #166 | -12.8 | 15% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  North Florida #321 | -7.0 | 28% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Clemson #46 | -20.9 | 4% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  South Carolina State #360 | +7.4 | 73% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  South Carolina Upstate #268 | +1.1 | 53% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  High Point #40 | -23.5 | 3% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Charleston Southern #276 | -9.6 | 22% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Western Carolina #152 | conf | -10.4 | 20% |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Georgia Tech #140 | -14.1 | 13% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Tennessee Tech #280 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  North Carolina #54 | -21.7 | 4% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  UNC Greensboro #246 | conf | -7.4 | 27% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Chattanooga #226 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Wofford #306 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Samford #190 | conf | -9.4 | 22% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  Furman #110 | conf | -7.7 | 26% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  VMI #350 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  East Tennessee State #171 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at | Wofford #306 | conf | -4.2 | 36% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Samford #190 | conf | -4.6 | 35% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | Furman #110 | conf | -12.0 | 16% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Mercer #231 | conf | -8.0 | 26% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | UNC Greensboro #246 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Tennessee Tech #280 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | Western Carolina #152 | conf | -5.8 | 32% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Chattanooga #226 | conf | -7.2 | 28% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | VMI #350 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | East Tennessee State #171 | conf | -9.7 | 21% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Mercer #231 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
Projected margin is from The Citadel's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.