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Winthrop
Winthrop returns 62% of last season's minutes and rates #159 on offense and #227 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.0 to +6.6.
Why we have them here
Winthrop's preseason projection of -0.6 (No. 177 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.6, less than the -0.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 91 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.0, about its neighbours' +0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.6. It returns 62% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Tommy Kamarad (+0.5), Seifeldin Hendawy (+0.0) and Tai Hamilton (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Keshawn Fisher, a transfer from Detroit Mercy, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -8.0 to +6.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 58% · Transfer 29% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1171 | Tommy Kamarad | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Winthrop | 20 | +0.9 | +0.5 |
| 1639 | Seifeldin Hendawy | G | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Winthrop | 19 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1716 | Tai Hamilton | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Winthrop | 15 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1906 | Keshawn Fisher | G | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Detroit Mercy | 16 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2157 | Anthony Smith III | G | 6-1 | 1 | Transfer | North Dakota | 19 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| 2357 | Pharrell Boyogueno | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Winthrop | 15 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| 2654 | Kaleb Evans | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.2 | -0.3 | |
| 2933 | Braylhan Thomas | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Winthrop | 11 | -1.3 | -0.4 |
| 3212 | Cam Christy | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Winthrop | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3717 | Henry Harrison | G | 5-11 | 3 | Returning | Winthrop | 8 | -2.2 | -0.4 |
| 4733 | Josh Meo | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Winthrop | 19 | -2.5 | -1.2 |
| 4964 | Micah Davis | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | IU Indianapolis | 22 | -2.8 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N | -1.5 | 45% | ||
| Sat Nov 07 | vs | +10.6 | 80% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -6.6 | 30% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | vs | +14.8 | 88% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | vs | +7.0 | 72% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | -0.3 | 49% | ||
| Mon Nov 23 | at | -23.1 | 3% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | at | +3.7 | 62% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -0.7 | 48% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | at | -18.0 | 7% | ||
| Mon Dec 14 | at | -8.4 | 25% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | at | -7.1 | 28% | ||
| Fri Jan 01 | vs | conf | +12.6 | 85% | |
| Sun Jan 03 | at | conf | -0.6 | 48% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs | conf | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | +1.0 | 53% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | conf | +4.7 | 65% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs | conf | -7.8 | 27% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | +6.0 | 69% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | conf | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | +4.5 | 64% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | conf | +1.2 | 54% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +5.6 | 67% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | conf | -13.8 | 13% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | +8.5 | 75% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
Projected margin is from Winthrop's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.