Teams › Southland · Compare East Texas A&M with another team
East Texas A&M
East Texas A&M returns 74% of last season's minutes and rates #335 on offense and #268 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.8 to -0.9.
Why we have them here
East Texas A&M's preseason projection of -8.3 (No. 319 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.8, about the -5.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 278 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.4, about its neighbours' -2.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.4. It returns 74% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (72%). The projection leans most on Noah Pagotto (+1.0), Damian Garcia (+0.5) and Jaxson Ford (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Jaxson Ford, a transfer from Sam Houston, at -0.4. Its 80% range, -15.8 to -0.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 57% · Transfer 8% · Other newcomer 17%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 906 | Noah Pagotto | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | East Texas A&M | 26 | +1.6 | +1.0 |
| 1173 | Damian Garcia | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | East Texas A&M | 25 | +0.8 | +0.5 |
| 2884 | Jaxson Ford | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Sam Houston | 16 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 3720 | Kamren Robinson | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.9 | -0.5 | |
| 3840 | Kollin Tolbert | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.0 | -0.5 | |
| 3918 | Chris Adlam | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.0 | -0.6 | |
| 4031 | Mykol Sanchez-Vega | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | East Texas A&M | 12 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
| 4565 | Parker Whisenhunt | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | East Texas A&M | 8 | -3.4 | -0.7 |
| 5039 | Alex McCray | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | East Texas A&M | 13 | -4.1 | -1.3 |
| 5112 | London Fields | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | East Texas A&M | 16 | -4.2 | -1.7 |
| 5241 | Evan Phelps | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | East Texas A&M | 14 | -6.7 | -2.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Oklahoma #30 | -23.0 | 3% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Rice #262 | -7.7 | 27% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Fairleigh Dickinson #334 | +6.0 | 69% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Portland #339 | -4.9 | 35% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Oregon State #93 | -17.0 | 8% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | at |  California #115 | -14.0 | 13% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Marshall #247 | -9.2 | 23% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -7.8 | 26% |
| Mon Dec 07 | at |  Lamar #238 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Central Arkansas #181 | -11.5 | 18% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  SE Louisiana #286 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  McNeese #80 | conf | -8.9 | 24% |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Texas #20 | -25.2 | 2% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Nicholls #267 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Mon Jan 04 | vs |  New Orleans #303 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
| Mon Jan 11 | at |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -10.0 | 21% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Houston Christian #273 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | New Orleans #303 | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
| Mon Jan 25 | at | Nicholls #267 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Northwestern State #277 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Mon Feb 01 | vs | Lamar #238 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Northwestern State #277 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Mon Feb 08 | vs | Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | McNeese #80 | conf | -14.4 | 12% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | SE Louisiana #286 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Incarnate Word #308 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Mon Feb 22 | at | Houston Christian #273 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Mon Mar 01 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
Projected margin is from East Texas A&M's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.