Teams › Southland · Compare UT Rio Grande Valley with another team
UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley returns 71% of last season's minutes and rates #236 on offense and #145 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.4 to +6.3.
Why we have them here
UT Rio Grande Valley's preseason projection of -1.1 (No. 191 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.5, about the -1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 78 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.3, more than its neighbours' -0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.3. It returns 71% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Julien Gomez (+1.2), Kwo Agwa (+0.2) and Marshal Destremau (+0.1). Its 80% range, -8.4 to +6.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 71%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 802 | Julien Gomez | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | UT Rio Grande Valley | 25 | +1.9 | +1.2 |
| 1419 | Kwo Agwa | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | UT Rio Grande Valley | 18 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1513 | Marshal Destremau | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | UT Rio Grande Valley | 17 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2104 | Kye Dickson | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | UT Rio Grande Valley | 19 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2291 | Luis Ramirez | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | UT Rio Grande Valley | 13 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 2737 | Dane Christensen | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | UT Rio Grande Valley | 18 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| 3261 | Mustafo Vanjov | C | 7-0 | 3 | Returning | UT Rio Grande Valley | 13 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| 4870 | Always Wright | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | UT Rio Grande Valley | 19 | -2.8 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Prairie View A&M #341 | +11.2 | 82% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Texas State #183 | +4.6 | 65% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  UT Arlington #211 | -4.8 | 35% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Austin Peay #163 | -7.0 | 29% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  UNLV #139 | -7.8 | 26% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | at |  Nicholls #267 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  New Orleans #303 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Tue Dec 08 | at | Texas State #183 | -6.2 | 31% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Dayton #74 | -12.8 | 15% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  Lamar #238 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Arkansas #25 | -20.1 | 5% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Mon Jan 04 | at |  Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  East Texas A&M #319 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Mon Jan 11 | vs |  Northwestern State #277 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  McNeese #80 | conf | -9.3 | 23% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  SE Louisiana #286 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Houston Christian #273 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +5.9 | 68% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Houston Christian #273 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -4.9 | 34% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | New Orleans #303 | conf | +5.9 | 68% |
| Mon Feb 08 | vs | Nicholls #267 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | Lamar #238 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | SE Louisiana #286 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Mon Feb 22 | vs | McNeese #80 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | East Texas A&M #319 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Mon Mar 01 | at | Northwestern State #277 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
Projected margin is from UT Rio Grande Valley's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.