Teams › Southland · Compare SE Louisiana with another team
SE Louisiana
SE Louisiana returns 53% of last season's minutes and rates #279 on offense and #277 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.2 to +1.5.
Why we have them here
SE Louisiana's preseason projection of -5.9 (No. 286 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.3, less than the -3.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 284 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.6, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.3. It returns 53% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Tyler Rolison (+1.7), Amir Chaney (-0.2) and Kyle Edison (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Tyler Rolison, a transfer from Nevada, at +1.7. Its 80% range, -13.2 to +1.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 48% · Transfer 43% · Other newcomer 9%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 499 | Tyler Rolison | G | 6-0 | 3 | Transfer | Nevada | 17 | +3.8 | +1.7 |
| 2209 | Kyle Edison | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | SE Louisiana | 11 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 2636 | Amir Chaney | F | 5-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.8 | -0.2 | |
| 3153 | Quincy Allen | G | 6-8 | 4 | Transfer | Bryant | 17 | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| 3236 | Logan Suber | F | 6-0 | 2 | Other newcomer | 7 | -1.9 | -0.3 | |
| 3368 | Cody Al-Naziat | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3502 | Peter Hemschemeier | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | SE Louisiana | 17 | -1.4 | -0.6 |
| 3746 | Garrett Shoemaker | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | SE Louisiana | 7 | -2.4 | -0.4 |
| 3783 | Seth Jones | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | SE Louisiana | 13 | -1.7 | -0.6 |
| 4335 | CJ Booker | G | 5-10 | 3 | Returning | SE Louisiana | 17 | -2.1 | -0.9 |
| 4346 | Jaiden Lawrence | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | SE Louisiana | 17 | -2.1 | -0.9 |
| 4779 | Tybo Bailey | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | East Carolina | 16 | -2.9 | -1.2 |
| 4918 | Ethan Pickett | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | SE Louisiana | 14 | -3.4 | -1.2 |
| 4947 | Ashley Sims II | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Bryant | 23 | -2.7 | -1.6 |
| 4958 | JJ Massaquoi | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | UMass Lowell | 12 | -3.8 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Nov 04 | at |  Auburn #16 | -23.8 | 3% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Little Rock #320 | -3.2 | 40% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Ole Miss #61 | -16.0 | 10% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Texas A&M #31 | -21.3 | 4% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Kennesaw State #167 | -10.1 | 21% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Northern Colorado #128 | -5.7 | 32% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  George Washington #119 | -12.3 | 16% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Incarnate Word #308 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Saint Louis #56 | -18.1 | 7% | |
| Mon Dec 07 | vs |  Houston Christian #273 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Thu Dec 10 | at |  California #115 | -11.9 | 17% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Hawai'i #179 | -9.2 | 23% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  East Texas A&M #319 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Northwestern State #277 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
| Wed Dec 23 | at |  Dayton #74 | -15.8 | 10% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
| Mon Jan 04 | at |  Lamar #238 | conf | -3.9 | 37% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  McNeese #80 | conf | -7.4 | 27% |
| Mon Jan 11 | at |  New Orleans #303 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Lamar #238 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | Stephen F. Austin #161 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | McNeese #80 | conf | -12.3 | 16% |
| Mon Feb 01 | vs |  Nicholls #267 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Houston Christian #273 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Mon Feb 08 | at | Incarnate Word #308 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Northwestern State #277 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | East Texas A&M #319 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Mon Feb 22 | at | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | conf | -8.0 | 26% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | New Orleans #303 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Mon Mar 01 | at | Nicholls #267 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
Projected margin is from SE Louisiana's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.