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Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount returns 42% of last season's minutes and rates #171 on offense and #197 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.6 to +7.2.
Why we have them here
Loyola Marymount's preseason projection of -0.2 (No. 170 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.7, more than the -0.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 188 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.3, less than its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.0. It returns 42% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Zion Sensley (+2.9), Aaron McBride (+1.1) and All Wright (+0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Zion Sensley, a transfer from UC Santa Barbara, at +2.9. Its 80% range, -7.6 to +7.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 37% · Transfer 48% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246 | Zion Sensley | G | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | UC Santa Barbara | 25 | +4.8 | +2.9 |
| 820 | Aaron McBride | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Loyola Marymount | 24 | +1.9 | +1.1 |
| 1240 | All Wright | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | Xavier | 22 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| 1851 | AJ Thomas | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Loyola Marymount | 16 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 1941 | Christian Humphrey-Rembert | F | 1 | Transfer | Lafayette | 26 | -0.3 | -0.2 | |
| 1979 | Mazi Mosley | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | LSU | 10 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 2228 | Nakyel Shelton | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Loyola Marymount | 12 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2316 | Zamir Paschal | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 12 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 2344 | Jasai Miles | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Indiana | 12 | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| 3261 | Cooper Smith | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Loyola Marymount | 7 | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| 3322 | Marley Zeller | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3645 | George Tupy | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Loyola Marymount | 7 | -2.2 | -0.4 |
| 3918 | Kevin Carney | G | 5-11 | 3 | Returning | Loyola Marymount | 8 | -2.4 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Nov 04 | vs | +4.8 | 65% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -6.8 | 29% | ||
| Thu Nov 12 | N | +1.7 | 56% | ||
| Sun Nov 15 | vs | +12.1 | 84% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | N | -0.6 | 48% | ||
| Sun Nov 22 | N | -3.2 | 40% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | vs | +4.9 | 66% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | at | -10.8 | 19% | ||
| Fri Dec 04 | vs | +6.3 | 70% | ||
| Mon Dec 07 | vs | +10.4 | 80% | ||
| Wed Dec 09 | at | -12.9 | 15% | ||
| Sun Dec 13 | N | -5.6 | 32% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | +12.1 | 83% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | vs | +3.7 | 62% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | vs | conf | +5.3 | 67% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -5.7 | 32% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs | conf | +6.0 | 68% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs | conf | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | -4.3 | 36% | |
| Tue Jan 19 | at | conf | -1.7 | 45% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | -10.3 | 20% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | conf | +0.0 | 50% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +5.1 | 66% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | +4.0 | 63% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | conf | +1.2 | 54% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -4.3 | 36% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | conf | +3.3 | 60% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -10.1 | 21% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | conf | +0.8 | 52% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +9.5 | 78% |
Projected margin is from Loyola Marymount's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.