Teams › Patriot · Compare Navy with another team
Navy
Navy returns 100% of last season's minutes and rates #222 on offense and #134 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.6 to +6.8.
Why we have them here
Navy's preseason projection of -0.4 (No. 174 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.4, less than the -0.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 100 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.7, about its neighbours' +0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.0. It returns 100% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Donovan Draper (+1.7), Cam Cole (+1.4) and Nyles Howard (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Steven McLeod, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -7.6 to +6.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 79% · Other newcomer 21%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 | Donovan Draper | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Navy | 26 | +2.5 | +1.7 |
| 663 | Cam Cole | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Navy | 21 | +2.7 | +1.4 |
| 1871 | Nyles Howard | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Navy | 8 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2142 | Julian Gabbidon | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Navy | 5 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2199 | Steven McLeod | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.0 | -0.1 | |
| 2249 | Davyn de Jongh | F | 6-1 | 2 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.0 | -0.1 | |
| 2262 | Julien King | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.1 | -0.1 | |
| 2365 | Jerry Ashley Jr. | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Navy | 8 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 2427 | Cooper Jackson | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Navy | 6 | -1.2 | -0.2 |
| 2430 | Matt Gaffney | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | Navy | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2446 | Owen Gray | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Navy | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2493 | Sam Krist | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Navy | 6 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2538 | Reiss Whitaker | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2605 | Tobi Raji | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Navy | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| 2619 | Colin Pollock | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2619 | C.J. Kearns | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2619 | Luke Morgan | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2677 | Cam Cormany | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Navy | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| 2723 | David Burnett | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Navy | 8 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| 2786 | Jordan McConnell | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 4416 | Jordan Pennick | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Navy | 22 | -1.9 | -1.1 |
| 4945 | Jinwoo Kim | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Navy | 26 | -2.6 | -1.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  George Washington #119 | -8.5 | 25% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  Delaware State #363 | +16.0 | 91% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Pennsylvania #144 | +4.3 | 64% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Hampton #288 | +8.9 | 77% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Georgetown #84 | -10.5 | 20% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Rider #351 | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Fairfield #248 | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | N |  Central Connecticut #316 | +4.9 | 66% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  NJIT #347 | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Air Force #357 | +4.5 | 64% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | at |  West Florida #304 | -1.2 | 46% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Presbyterian #243 | +7.2 | 72% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Lafayette #342 | conf | +8.6 | 76% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Bucknell #313 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Holy Cross #352 | conf | +5.9 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Boston University #230 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  Colgate #197 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Lehigh #256 | conf | +4.9 | 66% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  American University #188 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Army #314 | conf | +4.2 | 63% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Loyola Maryland #344 | conf | +9.3 | 78% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Colgate #197 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | Bucknell #313 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Holy Cross #352 | conf | +10.0 | 79% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Loyola Maryland #344 | conf | +5.9 | 68% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | American University #188 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Lafayette #342 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Army #314 | conf | +7.4 | 73% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Boston University #230 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Lehigh #256 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
Projected margin is from Navy's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.