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Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado returns 53% of last season's minutes and rates #131 on offense and #136 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.7 to +9.7.
Why we have them here
Northern Colorado's preseason projection of +2.5 (No. 128 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.3, less than the +1.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 154 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.4, about its neighbours' +0.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.0. It returns 53% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (51%). The projection leans most on Quinn Denker (+5.8), Langston Reynolds (+0.6) and Andrew Crawford (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Langston Reynolds, a transfer from Minnesota, at +0.6. Its 80% range, -4.7 to +9.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 46% · Transfer 32% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 19%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Quinn Denker | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Northern Colorado | 31 | +7.5 | +5.8 |
| 1141 | Langston Reynolds | G | 6-4 | 4 | Transfer | Minnesota | 29 | +0.8 | +0.6 |
| 2002 | Andrew Crawford | G | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Colorado | 6 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| 2268 | Will Dixion III | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.4 | -0.1 | |
| 2341 | Hunter Caldwell | C | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Northern Colorado | 7 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 2468 | Chiante' Tramble | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Southern Miss | 12 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 2578 | Steven Ramirez Jr. | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2578 | Kaden Ericksen | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2592 | Tanner Braketa | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Northern Colorado | 8 | -1.2 | -0.2 |
| 2615 | Ariik Mawien | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Northern Colorado | 10 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| 2654 | Will Gordon | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2703 | Campbell Blogg | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2896 | Drew Paine | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 2896 | Manning Shareef | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 3329 | Walker Asp | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Northern Colorado | 6 | -2.1 | -0.3 |
| 3420 | Jeremiah Hammond | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| 3840 | Egan Shields | C | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Northern Colorado | 16 | -1.7 | -0.6 |
| 4012 | Kaidon Rayfield | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | UTSA | 17 | -1.8 | -0.7 |
| 5237 | Vincent Delano | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Northern Colorado | 14 | -6.7 | -2.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Arizona State #52 | -13.0 | 15% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  South Dakota State #213 | +8.1 | 74% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  BYU #23 | -19.7 | 6% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  SE Louisiana #286 | +5.7 | 68% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  San Diego #263 | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | vs |  Idaho #251 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Eastern Washington #146 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Mon Dec 14 | at |  Stanford #69 | -11.3 | 18% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Charleston #141 | -4.6 | 35% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Montana #222 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Montana State #138 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Southern Utah #292 | conf | +3.9 | 62% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Utah Tech #275 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Idaho State #261 | conf | +6.5 | 70% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Weber State #233 | conf | +6.0 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Northern Arizona #307 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Mon Jan 25 | vs |  Portland State #186 | conf | +4.2 | 63% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | Eastern Washington #146 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Idaho #251 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Montana State #138 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Montana #222 | conf | +5.3 | 67% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Weber State #233 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Idaho State #261 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Utah Tech #275 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Southern Utah #292 | conf | +8.2 | 75% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Portland State #186 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Mon Mar 01 | vs | Northern Arizona #307 | conf | +8.1 | 75% |
Projected margin is from Northern Colorado's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.