Teams › MAC · Compare Miami (OH) with another team
Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) returns 69% of last season's minutes and rates #66 on offense and #168 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -1.1 to +13.5.
Why we have them here
Miami (OH)'s preseason projection of +6.1 (No. 96 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +3.0, about the +3.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 56 at the end of 2025-26) adds +2.2, more than its neighbours' +1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.5. It returns 69% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (46%). The projection leans most on Luke Skaljac (+2.4), Stevie Elam (+1.5) and Evan Ipsaro (+1.4); the newcomer who matters most is Stevie Elam, a transfer from Milwaukee, at +1.5. Its 80% range, -1.1 to +13.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 63% · Transfer 31% · Other newcomer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376 | Luke Skaljac | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 25 | +3.9 | +2.4 |
| 652 | Stevie Elam | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Milwaukee | 23 | +2.6 | +1.5 |
| 678 | Evan Ipsaro | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 21 | +2.6 | +1.4 |
| 1066 | Tyler Robbins | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 11 | +1.7 | +0.4 |
| 1114 | Rich Rolf | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Youngstown State | 22 | +1.0 | +0.6 |
| 1199 | Almar Atlason | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 18 | +0.9 | +0.4 |
| 1204 | Kyle Waltz | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 13 | +1.0 | +0.3 |
| 1441 | Justin Kirby | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 16 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1614 | Brady Ganley | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 8 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1695 | Ethan Wright | F | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 7 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2073 | Blake Anderson | F | 6-4 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -0.8 | -0.1 | |
| 2124 | Leshawn Stowers | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.8 | -0.1 | |
| 3247 | Jackson Kotecki | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Miami (OH) | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3713 | Preston Copeland | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Ball State | 16 | -1.5 | -0.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  James Madison #147 | -2.4 | 42% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Bellarmine #305 | +15.1 | 89% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Evansville #317 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  UIC #120 | -3.0 | 41% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Eastern Kentucky #264 | +14.2 | 87% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Central Michigan #259 | conf | +10.6 | 80% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Buffalo #209 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  High Point #40 | -12.4 | 16% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Bowling Green #266 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Ball State #153 | conf | +6.6 | 70% |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Wright State #165 | +10.4 | 80% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Eastern Michigan #244 | conf | +9.9 | 79% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  Toledo #173 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Fri Jan 08 | at |  Akron #73 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Western Michigan #151 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Kent State #133 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs | Buffalo #209 | conf | +8.7 | 76% |
| Fri Jan 22 | vs | Akron #73 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at |  Massachusetts #178 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Ohio #232 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs | Kent State #133 | conf | +6.1 | 69% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | Bowling Green #266 | conf | +11.1 | 81% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Ball State #153 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | Toledo #173 | conf | +7.6 | 73% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Central Michigan #259 | conf | +4.3 | 64% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | Eastern Michigan #244 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Ohio #232 | conf | +9.9 | 79% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Western Michigan #151 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Fri Mar 05 | vs | Massachusetts #178 | conf | +8.2 | 74% |
Projected margin is from Miami (OH)'s side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.