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Kent State
Kent State returns 49% of last season's minutes and rates #156 on offense and #119 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -5.3 to +9.6.
Why we have them here
Kent State's preseason projection of +2.2 (No. 133 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.6, about the +1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 152 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.4, about its neighbours' +0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.8. It returns 49% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (53%). The projection leans most on Quinn Woidke (+2.3), Christian Henry (+2.0) and Godslove Nwabude (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Christian Henry, a transfer from Fordham, at +2.0. Its 80% range, -5.3 to +9.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 46% · Transfer 43% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356 | Quinn Woidke | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Kent State | 21 | +4.3 | +2.3 |
| 504 | Christian Henry | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | Fordham | 27 | +3.0 | +2.0 |
| 964 | Godslove Nwabude | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Eastern Michigan | 19 | +1.7 | +0.8 |
| 1311 | Chansey Willis Jr. | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | Minnesota | 19 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 1582 | Dhani Miller | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2407 | Jamal Sumlin | F | 6-1 | 2 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 | |
| 2556 | Dorian Jones | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2654 | Dylan Lakatos | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | Kent State | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| 2684 | Drew Huffman | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Kent State | 5 | -1.6 | -0.2 |
| 2944 | Dezmon Briscoe | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Kent State | 9 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 2975 | Landon Vanderwarker | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Kent State | 6 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 3049 | Cameron Williams | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Portland | 22 | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| 3084 | Jaymen Townsend | F | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Kent State | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| 3861 | Brenden Moss | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Kent State | 6 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| 4017 | Magnus Entenmann | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Kent State | 11 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
| 4449 | Rob Whaley Jr. | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Kent State | 20 | -2.1 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -0.4 | 49% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | at | -7.4 | 28% | ||
| Mon Nov 16 | vs | +10.1 | 79% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | -3.1 | 40% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | N | -0.5 | 48% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | vs | conf | +7.0 | 71% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at | conf | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs | conf | +3.9 | 62% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | N | +5.3 | 66% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | +4.7 | 65% | |
| Tue Jan 05 | at | conf | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs | conf | +5.7 | 68% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Tue Jan 19 | at | conf | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | conf | +2.7 | 59% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +6.5 | 70% | |
| Tue Feb 02 | at | conf | -6.1 | 31% | |
| Tue Feb 09 | at | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -3.2 | 40% | |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | conf | +2.7 | 58% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | conf | +5.8 | 68% | |
| Fri Mar 05 | at | conf | -8.2 | 26% |
Projected margin is from Kent State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.