Teams › MVC · Compare Evansville with another team
Evansville
Evansville returns 75% of last season's minutes and rates #326 on offense and #276 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.3 to -0.7.
Why we have them here
Evansville's preseason projection of -8.0 (No. 317 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.5, about the -5.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 333 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.3, about its neighbours' -1.9; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.6. It returns 75% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (72%). The projection leans most on Leif Moeller (+0.0), Trent Hundley (-0.2) and Max Langenfeld (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Max Langenfeld, a transfer from Florida Atlantic, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -15.3 to -0.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 62% · Transfer 7% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 13%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1672 | Leif Moeller | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Evansville | 28 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2047 | Trent Hundley | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Evansville | 20 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2575 | Max Langenfeld | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Florida Atlantic | 14 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 4185 | Bryce Quinet | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Evansville | 25 | -1.6 | -1.0 |
| 4238 | Caden Symons | G | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -2.5 | -0.7 |
| 4478 | Dakota Candler | F | 6-5 | 3 | Other newcomer | 13 | -2.6 | -0.9 | |
| 4489 | Marlon Barnes Jr. | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Evansville | 9 | -3.1 | -0.7 |
| 4508 | Aaron Gutman | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 13 | -2.7 | -0.8 | |
| 4603 | Leo Amari IV | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Evansville | 7 | -3.9 | -0.7 |
| 4775 | Weston Aigner | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Evansville | 7 | -4.3 | -0.8 |
| 4893 | James Dyson-Merwe | F | 6-11 | 1 | Returning | Evansville | 15 | -3.3 | -1.2 |
| 5169 | Kaia Berridge | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Evansville | 14 | -5.1 | -1.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Southern Indiana #315 | +6.2 | 69% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Middle Tennessee #127 | -13.0 | 15% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Miami (OH) #96 | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Le Moyne #217 | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  Memphis #100 | -15.5 | 10% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Missouri #43 | -20.1 | 5% | |
| Mon Nov 30 | vs |  Chicago State #337 | +7.2 | 72% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Western Kentucky #160 | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  Ball State #153 | -10.6 | 19% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at | Ball State #153 | -10.6 | 19% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Drake #104 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Valparaiso #172 | conf | -7.5 | 27% |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Illinois State #108 | conf | -4.9 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Northern Iowa #88 | conf | -11.9 | 16% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Indiana State #116 | conf | -4.6 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Murray State #117 | conf | -10.2 | 21% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Belmont #94 | conf | -6.7 | 29% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  UIC #120 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Southern Illinois #206 | conf | -6.6 | 30% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Bradley #194 | conf | -7.8 | 27% |
| Sun Jan 24 | vs | Northern Iowa #88 | conf | -6.4 | 30% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Indiana State #116 | conf | -11.0 | 19% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | Bradley #194 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Drake #104 | conf | -10.5 | 20% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | Murray State #117 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Fri Feb 12 | at | Belmont #94 | conf | -12.0 | 17% |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | Valparaiso #172 | conf | -2.0 | 43% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | UIC #120 | conf | -9.3 | 22% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Illinois State #108 | conf | -11.2 | 18% |
| Sun Feb 28 | vs | Southern Illinois #206 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
Projected margin is from Evansville's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.