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Columbia
Columbia returns 83% of last season's minutes and rates #176 on offense and #182 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.5 to +7.1.
Why we have them here
Columbia's preseason projection of -0.2 (No. 169 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.2, about the -0.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 122 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.6, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.9. It returns 83% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Connor Igoe (+2.9), Miles Franklin (+0.6) and Hampton Sanders (+0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Nicolo Romanelli, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -7.5 to +7.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 72% · Transfer 6% · Freshman 12% · Other newcomer 11%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 | Connor Igoe | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Columbia | 22 | +5.2 | +2.9 |
| 1078 | Miles Franklin | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Columbia | 22 | +1.1 | +0.6 |
| 1269 | Hampton Sanders | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Columbia | 18 | +0.7 | +0.3 |
| 1362 | Richard Nweke | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Columbia | 14 | +0.5 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | Gerard O'Keefe | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Columbia | 20 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2527 | Nicolo Romanelli | F | 6-2 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -1.2 | -0.2 | |
| 2609 | Dan Vessey | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -1.3 | -0.2 | |
| 2799 | Leland Coleman | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Columbia | 9 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| 2930 | Trae Nunn | F | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 13 | -1.2 | -0.4 |
| 3032 | Nigel Clarkson | F | 6-8 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 | |
| 3188 | Josh Pratt | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -1.5 | -0.4 |
| 3301 | Josiah Cunningham | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Columbia | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3340 | Edwin Bai | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Columbia | 7 | -2.0 | -0.3 |
| 4233 | Mason Ritter | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Columbia | 21 | -1.8 | -0.9 |
| 4546 | Douglas Langford | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | San José State | 11 | -2.9 | -0.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Elon #198 | +6.6 | 70% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  Stonehill #354 | +14.1 | 87% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Bucknell #313 | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Northwestern #79 | -11.7 | 17% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Boston University #230 | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Saint Peter's #289 | +9.4 | 78% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  North Florida #321 | +11.7 | 83% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  St. John's #21 | -19.4 | 6% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | at |  New Haven #326 | +1.1 | 53% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Hofstra #124 | +3.4 | 61% | |
| Fri Dec 11 | vs |  Army #314 | +10.8 | 81% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Norfolk State #300 | +10.0 | 79% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  UAlbany #293 | -1.0 | 47% | |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Cornell #109 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Harvard #123 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Fri Jan 15 | vs |  Yale #95 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Brown #184 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Dartmouth #290 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Fri Jan 29 | at |  Princeton #164 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Pennsylvania #144 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Fri Feb 05 | at | Cornell #109 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Fri Feb 12 | vs | Princeton #164 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Pennsylvania #144 | conf | +1.5 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Dartmouth #290 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | Yale #95 | conf | -7.0 | 28% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Brown #184 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Fri Mar 05 | vs | Harvard #123 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
Projected margin is from Columbia's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.