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Stonehill
Stonehill returns 53% of last season's minutes and rates #359 on offense and #322 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -20.0 to -5.3.
Why we have them here
Stonehill's preseason projection of -12.7 (No. 354 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -7.7, about the -7.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 302 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.0, more than its neighbours' -2.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.4. It returns 53% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (79%). The projection leans most on Colin Byrne (-0.7), Norbu Jenpa (-0.8) and Felipe Patino (-0.9); the newcomer who matters most is Felipe Patino, a transfer from Southern Miss, at -0.9. Its 80% range, -20.0 to -5.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 53% · Transfer 17%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4452 | Trenton Ruth | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Stonehill | 19 | -2.1 | -1.0 |
| 4460 | Colin Byrne | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Stonehill | 10 | -2.9 | -0.7 |
| 4555 | Felipe Patino | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Southern Miss | 13 | -2.7 | -0.9 |
| 4590 | Anthony Holden | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Stonehill | 19 | -2.3 | -1.1 |
| 4605 | Norbu Jenpa | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Stonehill | 10 | -3.2 | -0.8 |
| 4743 | Eino Montin | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Stonehill | 11 | -3.3 | -0.9 |
| 4828 | Charlie Diamantis | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Stonehill | 10 | -3.7 | -1.0 |
| 4920 | Cory Lovell | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Stonehill | 12 | -3.7 | -1.1 |
| 5135 | Anquan Boldin Jr | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Florida A&M | 21 | -3.8 | -2.0 |
| 5151 | Pearse McGuinn | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Stonehill | 15 | -4.6 | -1.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Fordham #125 | -14.9 | 11% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Columbia #169 | -14.1 | 13% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Texas Tech #15 | -28.7 | <1% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  New Hampshire #335 | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Northeastern #296 | +1.1 | 54% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Notre Dame #75 | -20.0 | 5% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Providence #49 | -24.8 | 2% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Holy Cross #352 | +4.9 | 66% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  UMass Lowell #287 | -10.9 | 19% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Massachusetts #178 | -14.6 | 12% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Boston College #114 | -16.6 | 9% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Dartmouth #290 | -10.3 | 20% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Wagner #291 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Mon Jan 04 | vs |  Fairleigh Dickinson #334 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Fri Jan 08 | at |  Mercyhurst #239 | conf | -9.2 | 23% |
| Sun Jan 10 | at |  Le Moyne #217 | conf | -10.1 | 21% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Long Island University #210 | conf | -10.2 | 20% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Central Connecticut #316 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Chicago State #337 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  New Haven #326 | conf | -0.5 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Fairleigh Dickinson #334 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | Wagner #291 | conf | -6.2 | 31% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Central Connecticut #316 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Mercyhurst #239 | conf | -3.9 | 37% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Le Moyne #217 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Long Island University #210 | conf | -5.1 | 34% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | New Haven #326 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Chicago State #337 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
Projected margin is from Stonehill's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.