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Boston University
Boston University returns 89% of last season's minutes and rates #150 on offense and #317 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.3 to +4.4.
Why we have them here
Boston University's preseason projection of -3.0 (No. 230 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.4, about the -2.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 231 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.2, about its neighbours' -0.6; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.7. It returns 89% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Michael McNair (+2.4), Kyrone Alexander (+0.6) and Darnell Lloyd (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Darnell Lloyd, a freshman, recruit No. 327, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -10.3 to +4.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 79% · Transfer 4% · Freshman 2% · Other newcomer 9%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 448 | Michael McNair | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Boston University | 30 | +3.2 | +2.4 |
| 1037 | Kyrone Alexander | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Boston University | 15 | +1.5 | +0.6 |
| 2305 | Darnell Lloyd | C | 6-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -1.2 | -0.1 |
| 2369 | Michelangelo Oberti | C | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Pennsylvania | 8 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 2556 | Andrew Bhesania | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Boston University | 11 | -1.0 | -0.3 |
| 3517 | Spencer Joyner | F | 6-4 | 3 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.8 | -0.4 | |
| 3709 | Matai Baptiste | F | 6-7 | 3 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.0 | -0.5 | |
| 3823 | Azmar Abdullah | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Boston University | 25 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| 3854 | Donte Tisinger Jr. | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Boston University | 19 | -1.5 | -0.7 |
| 4260 | Sam Hughes | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Boston University | 26 | -1.6 | -1.1 |
| 4460 | Peter Carr | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Boston University | 8 | -3.3 | -0.6 |
| 4781 | Ethan Okwuosa | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Boston University | 15 | -3.0 | -1.1 |
| 4965 | Quinn Nielsen | F | 6-11 | 3 | Returning | Boston University | 10 | -4.2 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Northeastern #296 | +8.0 | 74% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Brown #184 | -6.3 | 30% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Northwestern #79 | -13.2 | 14% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | vs |  Dartmouth #290 | +7.7 | 73% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Merrimack #176 | -6.3 | 30% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Columbia #169 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Harvard #123 | -7.7 | 26% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Fordham #125 | -8.2 | 25% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  New Hampshire #335 | +9.8 | 79% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  Saint Joseph's #129 | -9.0 | 23% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Maine #318 | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | at |  UMass Lowell #287 | -4.0 | 37% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Loyola Maryland #344 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Lehigh #256 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Bucknell #313 | conf | +5.6 | 68% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Navy #174 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Lafayette #342 | conf | +3.3 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  American University #188 | conf | +1.1 | 53% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Colgate #197 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Holy Cross #352 | conf | +4.2 | 64% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | Lafayette #342 | conf | +6.9 | 71% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | American University #188 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | Lehigh #256 | conf | +3.3 | 60% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Army #314 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | Colgate #197 | conf | +1.5 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Loyola Maryland #344 | conf | +7.6 | 73% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | Bucknell #313 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | Holy Cross #352 | conf | +8.3 | 75% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Navy #174 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Army #314 | conf | +5.7 | 68% |
Projected margin is from Boston University's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.