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Harvard
Harvard returns 96% of last season's minutes and rates #132 on offense and #125 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.5 to +10.1.
Why we have them here
Harvard's preseason projection of +2.8 (No. 123 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.8, more than the +1.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 121 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.5, about its neighbours' +0.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.8. It returns 96% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (59%). The projection leans most on Tey Barbour (+4.0), Thomas Batties III (+3.1) and Robert Hinton (+2.6); the newcomer who matters most is Alex Touomou, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -4.5 to +10.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 93% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | Tey Barbour | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Harvard | 30 | +5.3 | +4.0 |
| 269 | Thomas Batties III | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Harvard | 29 | +4.2 | +3.1 |
| 391 | Robert Hinton | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Harvard | 30 | +3.4 | +2.6 |
| 1122 | Austin Hunt | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Harvard | 19 | +1.1 | +0.5 |
| 1878 | Frankie Mannino | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Harvard | 10 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2535 | Ryan Sullivan | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Harvard | 10 | -1.0 | -0.3 |
| 2599 | Jason Singleton | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.2 | -0.2 |
| 2672 | Alex Touomou | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2862 | Avner Dror | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Harvard | 4 | -2.0 | -0.2 |
| 2882 | Payton Pitts | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Harvard | 4 | -2.1 | -0.2 |
| 3220 | Dutch Dowdell | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Harvard | 5 | -2.2 | -0.3 |
| 3255 | Kenan Parrish | F | 7-0 | 1 | Returning | Harvard | 7 | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| 3306 | Luca Ace-Nasteski | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Harvard | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 |
| 3393 | Joseph Quartey | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Harvard | 4 | -2.5 | -0.3 |
| 4139 | Xavier Nesbitt | G | 5-11 | 3 | Returning | Harvard | 6 | -3.2 | -0.5 |
| 5057 | Ben Eisendrath | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Harvard | 23 | -3.2 | -1.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 10 | at | +1.6 | 55% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | at | -6.1 | 31% | ||
| Sun Nov 15 | at | -2.9 | 41% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | vs | +3.7 | 62% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | at | +5.0 | 66% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | vs | +7.7 | 74% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | vs | +4.0 | 63% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | at | +2.8 | 59% | ||
| Fri Dec 04 | at | -21.2 | 4% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | vs | +9.7 | 78% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | at | -10.6 | 19% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | at | +1.5 | 55% | ||
| Mon Jan 04 | at | conf | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -1.2 | 46% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | at | conf | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Fri Jan 29 | vs | conf | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +3.6 | 61% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | +7.3 | 72% | |
| Fri Feb 12 | at | conf | -4.8 | 35% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | conf | +2.3 | 57% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Fri Mar 05 | at | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
Projected margin is from Harvard's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.