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Wyoming
Wyoming returns 64% of last season's minutes and rates #114 on offense and #169 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.5 to +10.2.
Why we have them here
Wyoming's preseason projection of +2.8 (No. 121 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.6, more than the +1.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 116 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.8, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.8. It returns 64% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (55%). The projection leans most on Khaden Bennett (+4.7), Nasir Meyer (+3.2) and Uriyah Rojas (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Renars Sondors, a transfer from UL Monroe, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -4.5 to +10.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 61% · Transfer 33% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | Khaden Bennett | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Wyoming | 28 | +6.7 | +4.7 |
| 239 | Nasir Meyer | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Wyoming | 28 | +4.6 | +3.2 |
| 945 | Uriyah Rojas | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Wyoming | 18 | +1.8 | +0.8 |
| 1162 | Gavin Gores | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Wyoming | 17 | +1.0 | +0.4 |
| 1915 | Renars Sondors | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | UL Monroe | 25 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2352 | Garrett Spielman | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Wyoming | 5 | -1.2 | -0.1 |
| 2365 | Talan Taylor | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Wyoming | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2504 | Parker Gerrits | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | Washington State | 10 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 2808 | Neil Summers | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 3187 | Chris Pohl | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -1.8 | -0.3 |
| 3441 | Simm-Marten Saadi | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Wyoming | 9 | -1.8 | -0.4 |
| 3759 | Micah Curtis | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | North Dakota | 8 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
| 4305 | Canin Jefferson | G | 6-2 | 3 | Transfer | North Alabama | 22 | -1.8 | -1.0 |
| 4767 | Kiani Saxon | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Wyoming | 13 | -3.2 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | vs | +10.5 | 80% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -12.6 | 15% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | at | -0.2 | 49% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | vs | +8.5 | 75% | ||
| Sun Nov 22 | N | +1.5 | 55% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | N | +0.5 | 52% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | vs | +7.0 | 72% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | vs | +7.8 | 74% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | +11.1 | 82% | ||
| Fri Dec 11 | at | -10.0 | 21% | ||
| Mon Dec 14 | vs | +8.4 | 75% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | at | +2.9 | 59% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | at | -3.7 | 38% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | -1.7 | 45% | |
| Tue Jan 05 | at | conf | +2.3 | 58% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | -8.0 | 26% | |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs | conf | +7.7 | 73% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs | conf | +7.0 | 72% | |
| Fri Jan 22 | at | conf | +9.7 | 79% | |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | conf | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | -2.3 | 43% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -7.5 | 27% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | conf | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +5.3 | 67% | |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | conf | -3.6 | 39% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | conf | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +13.6 | 87% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | conf | -9.4 | 22% | |
| Fri Mar 05 | vs | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
Projected margin is from Wyoming's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.