Teams › Mountain West · Compare Hawai'i with another team
Hawai'i
Hawai'i returns 40% of last season's minutes and rates #262 on offense and #109 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.2 to +6.7.
Why we have them here
Hawai'i's preseason projection of -0.7 (No. 179 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.1, about the -0.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 120 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.4, about its neighbours' +0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.3. It returns 40% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Gytis Nemeiksa (+1.6), Marcus Adams Jr. (+0.8) and Manie Joses (+0.6); the newcomer who matters most is Marcus Adams Jr., a transfer from Arizona State, at +0.8. Its 80% range, -8.2 to +6.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 35% · Transfer 38% · Other newcomer 9%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 | Gytis Nemeiksa | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Hawai'i | 24 | +2.6 | +1.6 |
| 942 | Marcus Adams Jr. | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Arizona State | 17 | +1.8 | +0.8 |
| 1041 | Manie Joses | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Davidson | 15 | +1.5 | +0.6 |
| 1272 | Aaron Hunkin-Claytor | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Hawai'i | 23 | +0.6 | +0.4 |
| 1518 | Isaiah Kerr | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Hawai'i | 23 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2873 | Jaden Matingou | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.4 | -0.3 | ||
| 2909 | Kellen Hampton | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Pacific | 7 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| 3049 | Tanner Cuff | F | 6-7 | 3 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.5 | -0.3 | |
| 3146 | Houran Dan | C | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Seattle U | 17 | -1.2 | -0.5 |
| 4317 | Zack Davidson | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Northern Arizona | 19 | -1.9 | -0.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Seattle U #111 | +2.6 | 58% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | vs |  UT Arlington #211 | +6.5 | 70% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  Portland #339 | +12.3 | 84% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | N |  Washington State #162 | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Incarnate Word #308 | +10.1 | 79% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  San Diego #263 | -2.4 | 42% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | at |  Loyola Marymount #170 | -6.3 | 30% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  SE Louisiana #286 | +9.2 | 77% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | vs |  UC Irvine #105 | +2.2 | 57% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Alabama State #340 | +12.3 | 84% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  San José State #187 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  UC Davis #255 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Nevada #66 | conf | -10.3 | 20% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Air Force #357 | conf | +11.4 | 82% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Wyoming #121 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Grand Canyon #59 | conf | -10.8 | 19% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  UNLV #139 | conf | -4.5 | 36% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs |  New Mexico #50 | conf | -6.7 | 30% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | UC Davis #255 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  UTEP #237 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Air Force #357 | conf | +7.7 | 73% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Wyoming #121 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | San José State #187 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Nevada #66 | conf | -4.6 | 36% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | New Mexico #50 | conf | -12.3 | 16% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | UTEP #237 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | Grand Canyon #59 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | UNLV #139 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
Projected margin is from Hawai'i's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.