Teams › Mountain West · Compare San José State with another team
San José State
San José State returns 38% of last season's minutes and rates #179 on offense and #211 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.3 to +6.4.
Why we have them here
San José State's preseason projection of -1.0 (No. 187 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.2, more than the -1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 295 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.2, less than its neighbours' +0.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.1. It returns 38% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (67%). The projection leans most on Yaphet Moundi (+1.4), Mookie Cook (+1.1) and Scotty Middleton (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Mookie Cook, a transfer from San Francisco, at +1.1. Its 80% range, -8.3 to +6.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 29% · Transfer 48% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 9%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 666 | Yaphet Moundi | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | San José State | 22 | +2.6 | +1.4 |
| 797 | Mookie Cook | F | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | San Francisco | 21 | +2.1 | +1.1 |
| 973 | Scotty Middleton | F | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Tulane | 23 | +1.4 | +0.8 |
| 980 | Joey Chammaa | G | 5-11 | 3 | Transfer | Arkansas State | 17 | +1.6 | +0.7 |
| 1308 | Robert Vaihola | F | 6-8 | 5 | Transfer | Minnesota | 17 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 1480 | Zine Eddine Bedri | F | 6-10 | 4 | Transfer | Columbia | 18 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 3020 | Rokiem Green | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| 3748 | Damase Coly | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.1 | -0.5 | |
| 4038 | Christian Wise | F | 6-6 | 3 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.3 | -0.6 | |
| 4266 | Jaden Goodall | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | San José State | 7 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| 4376 | Eren Karakaya | C | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | San José State | 8 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| 4691 | Pasha Goodarzi | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | San José State | 20 | -2.4 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  UTSA #284 | +8.4 | 75% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  UC Irvine #105 | -8.9 | 23% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | vs |  UC Riverside #252 | +7.1 | 72% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | vs |  Alabama State #340 | +11.1 | 82% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Fresno State #221 | +6.1 | 69% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Loyola Chicago #166 | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Utah Valley #112 | -9.5 | 22% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Seattle U #111 | +2.0 | 56% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Long Beach State #278 | +8.2 | 75% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Southern Utah #292 | +9.0 | 77% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Stanford #69 | -13.0 | 14% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  UC San Diego #77 | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Hawai'i #179 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  Air Force #357 | conf | +7.0 | 72% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  UNLV #139 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  Grand Canyon #59 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  UC Davis #255 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at |  New Mexico #50 | conf | -11.8 | 17% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Nevada #66 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  UTEP #237 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs | New Mexico #50 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | UNLV #139 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | UC Davis #255 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Air Force #357 | conf | +10.3 | 80% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at | Hawai'i #179 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  Wyoming #121 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | Nevada #66 | conf | -9.9 | 21% |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | Grand Canyon #59 | conf | -10.4 | 20% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | UTEP #237 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Fri Mar 05 | at | Wyoming #121 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
Projected margin is from San José State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.